Gangwon FC vs Incheon United: prediction and stats
K League 1Regular Season - 32Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 07:30 AM (UTC)Chuncheon Songam Stadium, Chuncheon
The Footlab model makes Gangwon FC the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Incheon United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gangwon FC vs Incheon United?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Gangwon FC (1,781) and Incheon United (1,752).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gangwon FC have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Incheon United have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Gwangju FC(home) | 2-2 | K League 1 |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Daejeon Citizen(away) | 0-3 | K League 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Seongnam FC(home) | 0-0 | FA Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ulsan Hyundai FC(away) | 3-2 | K League 1 |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Gamba Osaka(home) | 0-1 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | FC Anyang(away) | 1-2 | K League 1 |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Gwangju FC(away) | 1-0 | K League 1 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC(home) | 1-1 | K League 1 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Jeju United FC(away) | 3-3 | K League 1 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Gimpo Citizen(away) | 0-1 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Gangwon FC win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Incheon United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Incheon United 0-1 Gangwon FC | K League 1 |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Incheon United 1-3 Gangwon FC | K League 1 |
| Jun 30, 2024 | Incheon United 0-1 Gangwon FC | K League 1 |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Gangwon FC 4-1 Incheon United | K League 1 |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Gangwon FC 1-1 Incheon United | K League 1 |
| Jul 2, 2023 | Incheon United 1-0 Gangwon FC | K League 1 |
Last archived meeting: Incheon United vs Gangwon FC on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gangwon FC score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Incheon United score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gangwon FC | 1.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Incheon United | 1.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gangwon FC sit 4th in K League 1 (36 points from 24 matches) and Incheon United sit 8th (33 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Gangwon FC | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 30 | 24 | 36 |
| 8 | Incheon United | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 27 | 33 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gangwon FC vs Incheon United?
- The Footlab model makes Gangwon FC the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Incheon United.
- Where and when is Gangwon FC vs Incheon United played?
- Gangwon FC vs Incheon United is played on October 18, 2026 at 07:30 AM (UTC) at Chuncheon Songam Stadium, in the K League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.