Alcochetense vs Sintrense: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group DGroup D - 26Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio António Almeida Correia, Alcochete
The Footlab model makes Alcochetense the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Sintrense. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alcochetense vs Sintrense?
A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate Alcochetense (1,843) and Sintrense (1,889).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alcochetense have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Sintrense have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Portel(home) | 2-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Juventude Évora(away) | 2-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Lagoa(away) | 2-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Oriental Lisboa(home) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Apr 4, 2026 | FC Alverca II(away) | 1-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Aljustrelense(home) | 4-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Portel(away) | 2-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Portimonense B(home) | 2-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Atlético Malveira(away) | 2-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Vasco da Gama Vidigueira(home) | 4-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Alcochetense win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Sintrense win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Sintrense 1-1 Alcochetense | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Alcochetense 1-0 Sintrense | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
Last archived meeting: Sintrense vs Alcochetense on Mar 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Alcochetense score 1.4 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Sintrense score 1.6 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alcochetense | 1.4 | 1.0 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Sintrense | 1.6 | 0.8 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sintrense | 26 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 39 | 26 | 52 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alcochetense vs Sintrense?
- The Footlab model makes Alcochetense the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Sintrense.
- Where and when is Alcochetense vs Sintrense played?
- Alcochetense vs Sintrense is played on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio António Almeida Correia, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.