Portel vs Lagoa: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group DGroup D - 26Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Portel the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Lagoa. The most likely score is 1-1. If Portel wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Portel vs Lagoa?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Portel (1,794) and Lagoa (1,842).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Portel vs Lagoa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Portel
Not enough data to predict the Portel lineup.
Lagoa
Not enough data to predict the Lagoa lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 07:44 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 10 matches in all competitions, Portel have 1 win, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Lagoa have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Imortal Albufeira(away) | 0-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Olhanense(away) | 0-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Aljustrelense(home) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Juventude Évora(away) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Messejanense(away) | 8-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Amora(away) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Atlético CP(away) | 1-4 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | FC Serpa(home) | 0-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Santa Clara B(away) | 2-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Imortal Albufeira(away) | 0-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
How many goals should we expect?
Portel score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 10; Lagoa score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portel | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1 | 4/10 | 6/10 |
| Lagoa | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 10 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Lagoa | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26 | 35 | 30 |
A question about Portel vs Lagoa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Portel vs Lagoa?
- The Footlab AI model makes Portel the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Lagoa.
- Where and when is Portel vs Lagoa played?
- Portel vs Lagoa is played on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.