FC Tosno vs Luch-Energiya: result 1-2 and analysis
First LeagueRegular Season - 15Kick-off on October 2, 2016 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Petrovskiy, St. Petersburg
Full time
What was the result of FC Tosno vs Luch-Energiya?
Luch-Energiya won 1-2 on October 2, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 1′97733Luch-Energiya
- 41′A. GritsaenkoLuch-Energiya
- 51′K. GarbuzFC Tosno
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 14 matches in all competitions, FC Tosno have 8 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeats; Luch-Energiya have 3, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2016 | Spartak Nalchik(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Sep 17, 2016 | Volgar Astrakhan(home) | 3-0 | First League |
| Sep 10, 2016 | Zenit 2(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Sep 3, 2016 | Baltika(home) | 4-1 | First League |
| Aug 28, 2016 | Dynamo(away) | 1-0 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2016 | Spartak Moscow 2(home) | 0-0 | First League |
| Sep 17, 2016 | FK Neftekhimik(home) | 1-0 | First League |
| Sep 10, 2016 | Spartak Nalchik(away) | 1-0 | First League |
| Sep 3, 2016 | Volgar Astrakhan(away) | 2-3 | First League |
| Aug 28, 2016 | Zenit 2(away) | 0-1 | First League |
How many goals should we expect?
FC Tosno score 1.6 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 14; Luch-Energiya score 0.7 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Tosno | 1.6 | 0.7 | 5 | 9/14 | 6/14 |
| Luch-Energiya | 0.7 | 1.2 | 5 | 5/14 | 3/14 |
Over the last 14 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy