FC UFA vs FC Sochi: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 34Kick-off on May 29, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)BetBoom Аrena, Ufa
The Footlab model makes FC UFA the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for FC Sochi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC UFA vs FC Sochi?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate FC UFA (1,798) and FC Sochi (1,832).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC UFA have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; FC Sochi have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Enisey(home) | 3-1 | First League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Spartak Kostroma(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ural(away) | 0-3 | First League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | KAMAZ(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Ska-khabarovsk(home) | 1-0 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | KAMAZ(away) | 3-2 | First League |
| Aug 20, 2026 | FK Neftekhimik(away) | 2-1 | First League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Volga Ulyanovsk(home) | 1-0 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Torpedo Moskva(away) | 2-1 | First League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Leningradets(away) | 1-2 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 FC UFA win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 FC Sochi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2024 | FC Sochi 5-2 FC UFA | First League |
| Aug 25, 2024 | FC UFA 3-4 FC Sochi | First League |
| Apr 10, 2022 | FC UFA 1-2 FC Sochi | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2021 | FC Sochi 3-1 FC UFA | Premier League |
| Apr 25, 2021 | FC UFA 2-3 FC Sochi | Premier League |
| Nov 6, 2020 | FC Sochi 1-1 FC UFA | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
FC UFA score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; FC Sochi score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC UFA | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| FC Sochi | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC UFA sit 7th in First League (12 points from 7 matches) and FC Sochi sit 3rd (16 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | FC Sochi | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 16 |
| 7 | FC UFA | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 12 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC UFA vs FC Sochi?
- The Footlab model makes FC UFA the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for FC Sochi.
- Where and when is FC UFA vs FC Sochi played?
- FC UFA vs FC Sochi is played on May 29, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at BetBoom Аrena, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 29, 2027Arsenal TulavsNizhny Novgorod
- May 29, 2027UralvsChelyabinsk
- May 29, 2027Shinnik YaroslavlvsEnisey
- May 29, 2027FK NeftekhimikvsKAMAZ
- May 29, 2027LeningradetsvsRotor Volgograd
- May 29, 2027VelesvsTorpedo Moskva
- May 29, 2027Volga UlyanovskvsSka-khabarovsk
- May 29, 2027Spartak KostromavsTekstilshchik