Match

FC UFA vs FC Sochi: prediction and stats

First LeagueRegular Season - 34Kick-off on May 29, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)BetBoom Аrena, Ufa

FC UFAFC Sochi

The Footlab model makes FC UFA the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for FC Sochi. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC UFA vs FC Sochi?

A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate FC UFA (1,798) and FC Sochi (1,832).

FC UFA win41 %
Draw29 %
FC Sochi win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC UFA have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; FC Sochi have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC UFA
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Enisey(home)3-1First League
Aug 17, 2026Spartak Kostroma(away)1-1First League
Aug 8, 2026Ural(away)0-3First League
Aug 3, 2026KAMAZ(home)1-1First League
Jul 26, 2026Ska-khabarovsk(home)1-0First League
FC Sochi
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 24, 2026KAMAZ(away)3-2First League
Aug 20, 2026FK Neftekhimik(away)2-1First League
Aug 16, 2026Volga Ulyanovsk(home)1-0First League
Aug 8, 2026Torpedo Moskva(away)2-1First League
Aug 1, 2026Leningradets(away)1-2First League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 FC UFA win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 FC Sochi win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 22, 2024FC Sochi 5-2 FC UFAFirst League
Aug 25, 2024FC UFA 3-4 FC SochiFirst League
Apr 10, 2022FC UFA 1-2 FC SochiPremier League
Sep 12, 2021FC Sochi 3-1 FC UFAPremier League
Apr 25, 2021FC UFA 2-3 FC SochiPremier League
Nov 6, 2020FC Sochi 1-1 FC UFAPremier League

Last archived meeting: FC Sochi vs FC UFA on Nov 22, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

FC UFA score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; FC Sochi score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FC UFA1.10.965/155/15
FC Sochi1.71.149/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC UFA sit 7th in First League (12 points from 7 matches) and FC Sochi sit 3rd (16 points from 8 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3FC Sochi8512161016
7FC UFA733111812

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC UFA vs FC Sochi?
The Footlab model makes FC UFA the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for FC Sochi.
Where and when is FC UFA vs FC Sochi played?
FC UFA vs FC Sochi is played on May 29, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at BetBoom Аrena, in the First League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Ready to know everything about football?