FC Sochi vs FC UFA: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Olimpiyskiy Stadion Fisht, Sochi
The Footlab model makes FC Sochi the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for FC UFA. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Sochi vs FC UFA?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate FC Sochi (1,820) and FC UFA (1,796).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Sochi have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; FC UFA have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | KAMAZ(away) | 3-2 | First League |
| Aug 20, 2026 | FK Neftekhimik(away) | 2-1 | First League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Volga Ulyanovsk(home) | 1-0 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Torpedo Moskva(away) | 2-1 | First League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Leningradets(away) | 1-2 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Enisey(home) | 3-1 | First League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Spartak Kostroma(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ural(away) | 0-3 | First League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | KAMAZ(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Ska-khabarovsk(home) | 1-0 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 FC Sochi win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 FC UFA win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2024 | FC Sochi 5-2 FC UFA | First League |
| Aug 25, 2024 | FC UFA 3-4 FC Sochi | First League |
| Apr 10, 2022 | FC UFA 1-2 FC Sochi | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2021 | FC Sochi 3-1 FC UFA | Premier League |
| Apr 25, 2021 | FC UFA 2-3 FC Sochi | Premier League |
| Nov 6, 2020 | FC Sochi 1-1 FC UFA | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
FC Sochi score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; FC UFA score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Sochi | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| FC UFA | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Sochi sit 3rd in First League (16 points from 8 matches) and FC UFA sit 7th (12 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | FC Sochi | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 16 |
| 7 | FC UFA | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 12 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Sochi vs FC UFA?
- The Footlab model makes FC Sochi the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for FC UFA.
- Where and when is FC Sochi vs FC UFA played?
- FC Sochi vs FC UFA is played on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Olimpiyskiy Stadion Fisht, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 10, 2026Arsenal TulavsSpartak Kostroma
- Oct 10, 2026UralvsVeles
- Oct 10, 2026Ska-khabarovskvsKAMAZ
- Oct 10, 2026Shinnik YaroslavlvsTekstilshchik
- Oct 10, 2026FK NeftekhimikvsChelyabinsk
- Oct 10, 2026Rotor VolgogradvsVolga Ulyanovsk
- Oct 10, 2026Nizhny NovgorodvsEnisey
- Oct 10, 2026LeningradetsvsTorpedo Moskva