FC Winterthur vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy: prediction and stats
Challenge LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Stadion Schützenwiese, Winterthur
The Footlab model makes Stade Lausanne-Ouchy the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for FC Winterthur. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Winterthur vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy?
A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate FC Winterthur (1,761) and Stade Lausanne-Ouchy (1,844).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Winterthur have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Stade Lausanne-Ouchy have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Rapperswil(away) | 2-0 | Challenge League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Zürich City(away) | 3-1 | Schweizer Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | FC WIL 1900(home) | 5-0 | Challenge League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | SC Kriens(away) | 0-2 | Challenge League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Yverdon Sport(home) | 2-2 | Challenge League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Neuchatel Xamax FC(away) | 2-1 | Challenge League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Italien(away) | 8-1 | Schweizer Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Rapperswil(home) | 2-0 | Challenge League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Aarau(away) | 1-1 | Challenge League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Stade Nyonnais(home) | 2-0 | Challenge League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 FC Winterthur win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2025 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 1-0 FC Winterthur | Schweizer Cup |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 0-1 FC Winterthur | Super League |
| Jan 27, 2024 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 1-3 FC Winterthur | Super League |
| Sep 23, 2023 | FC Winterthur 2-1 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | Super League |
| Apr 2, 2022 | FC Winterthur 2-1 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | Challenge League |
| Mar 4, 2022 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 3-1 FC Winterthur | Challenge League |
Last archived meeting: Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs FC Winterthur on Dec 2, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
FC Winterthur score 1.8 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Stade Lausanne-Ouchy score 2.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Winterthur | 1.8 | 1.8 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | 2.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Winterthur sit 4th in Challenge League (7 points from 4 matches) and Stade Lausanne-Ouchy sit 1st (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 4 | FC Winterthur | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Winterthur vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy?
- The Footlab model makes Stade Lausanne-Ouchy the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for FC Winterthur.
- Where and when is FC Winterthur vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy played?
- FC Winterthur vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy is played on August 28, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion Schützenwiese, in the Challenge League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.