FC Winterthur vs Étoile Carouge: prediction and stats
Challenge LeagueRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Schützenwiese, Winterthur
The Footlab AI model makes FC Winterthur the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Étoile Carouge. The most likely score is 1-1. If FC Winterthur wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,597 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Winterthur vs Étoile Carouge?
On Elo ratings, FC Winterthur has 1,670 points and Étoile Carouge 1,613.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for FC Winterthur vs Étoile Carouge
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
FC Winterthur
4-2-3-1- 68B. Beyer
- 44S. Cueni
- 37E. Maluvunu
- 8T. Golliard
- 20A. Marchesano
- 27F. Rohner
- 16R. Arnold
- 4S. Camara
- 33Tibault Citherlet
- 21S. Ottiger
- 1M. Kuster
Étoile Carouge
4-1-4-1- 88L. Essiena Avang
- 14S. Camara
- 8R. Alves
- 10B. Caslei
- 77T. Escorza
- 6M. El Jaouhari
- 4I. Strohbach
- 24M. Dubosson
- 78N. Boulkous
- 3F. Hoxha
- 23Lionel Huwiler
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 01:15 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Winterthur have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Étoile Carouge have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | FC Luzern(home) | 0-1 | Schweizer Cup |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Neuchatel Xamax FC(away) | 0-3 | Challenge League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | FC Basel 1893(home) | 7-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Seuzach(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 18, 2026 | FC Aarau(home) | 2-1 | Challenge League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy(away) | 0-3 | Schweizer Cup |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Yverdon Sport(home) | 0-2 | Challenge League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | SC Kriens(away) | 1-4 | Challenge League |
| Sep 11, 2026 | FC Winterthur(home) | 0-1 | Challenge League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | FC WIL 1900(home) | 1-1 | Challenge League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 FC Winterthur win, 0 draws, 1 Étoile Carouge win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2026 | Étoile Carouge 0-1 FC Winterthur | Challenge League |
| Sep 18, 2021 | Étoile Carouge 3-1 FC Winterthur | Schweizer Cup |
Last archived meeting: Étoile Carouge vs FC Winterthur on Sep 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Winterthur score 2.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Étoile Carouge score 0.8 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Winterthur | 2.3 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Étoile Carouge | 0.8 | 2.0 | 3 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Winterthur sit 3rd in Challenge League (18 points from 10 matches) and Étoile Carouge sit 9th (9 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | FC Winterthur | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 18 |
| 9 | Étoile Carouge | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 9 |
A question about FC Winterthur vs Étoile Carouge?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Winterthur vs Étoile Carouge?
- The Footlab AI model makes FC Winterthur the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Étoile Carouge.
- Where and when is FC Winterthur vs Étoile Carouge played?
- FC Winterthur vs Étoile Carouge is played on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Schützenwiese, in the Challenge League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.