Victoria Bardar vs Floreşti: prediction and stats
Liga 1Regular Season - 9Kick-off on October 9, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Joma Arena, Chişinău
The Footlab model makes Floreşti the favourite at 43%, against 22% for a draw and 34% for Victoria Bardar. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Victoria Bardar vs Floreşti?
Floreşti starts as the favourite with a 123-point Elo edge (1,287 vs 1,165).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Victoria Bardar have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Floreşti have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Stăuceni(home) | 3-2 | Liga 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Făleşti(away) | 0-1 | Liga 1 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Oguzsport(home) | 0-1 | Liga 1 |
| May 6, 2026 | FCM Ungheni(away) | 2-4 | Super Liga |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Univer Comrat(home) | 1-1 | Liga 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 27, 2026 | Sireți(away) | 0-1 | Super Liga |
| May 20, 2026 | Spartanii Selemet(away) | 4-1 | Super Liga |
| May 16, 2026 | FCM Ungheni(home) | 5-4 | Super Liga |
| May 9, 2026 | Politehnica UTM(home) | 1-1 | Super Liga |
| May 5, 2026 | FC Stăuceni(away) | 0-0 | Super Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Victoria Bardar win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Floreşti win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | Floreşti 7-0 Victoria Bardar | Liga 1 |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Victoria Bardar 2-5 Floreşti | Liga 1 |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Floreşti 5-1 Victoria Bardar | Liga 1 |
| May 7, 2025 | Floreşti 0-5 Victoria Bardar | Super Liga |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Victoria Bardar 4-1 Floreşti | Super Liga |
| Apr 16, 2024 | Victoria Bardar 1-0 Floreşti | Super Liga |
Last archived meeting: Floreşti vs Victoria Bardar on Oct 18, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Victoria Bardar score 1.3 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Floreşti score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victoria Bardar | 1.3 | 2.4 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Floreşti | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Victoria Bardar | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Victoria Bardar vs Floreşti?
- The Footlab model makes Floreşti the favourite at 43%, against 22% for a draw and 34% for Victoria Bardar.
- Where and when is Victoria Bardar vs Floreşti played?
- Victoria Bardar vs Floreşti is played on October 9, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Joma Arena, in the Liga 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.