Feirense vs Amarante: prediction and stats
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 34Kick-off on May 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Marcolino de Castro, Santa Maria da Feira
The Footlab AI model makes Amarante the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Feirense. The most likely score is 1-1. If Amarante wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Feirense vs Amarante?
Amarante starts as the favourite with a 154-point Elo edge (2,048 vs 1,895).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Feirense vs Amarante
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Feirense
3-4-3- 25Henrique Pereira
- 19Alexandre Guedes
- 47Piri
- 77Gui Meira
- 90Luisinho
- 24M. Diaby
- 22Samad Popoola
- 14Pedro Pinto
- 4Antonio Leal
- 20João Oliveira
- 26Diego Altube
Amarante
3-4-3- 5Joao Ricardo
- 88Rúben Alves
- 10M. Costa
- 26A. Zangre
- 8Tokinho
- 78Simão Silva
- 6Rodrigo Guedes
- 2Gonçalo Cunha
- 3Feliciano Mendes
- 28Diogo Costa
- 65Didi
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 10:42 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Feirense have 1 win, 5 draws and 9 defeats; Amarante have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Farense(away) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Salgueiros(away) | 0-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Chaves(away) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Sporting CP B(home) | 1-3 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 30, 2026 | AVS(away) | 0-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Portimonense(home) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Ponte da Barca(away) | 2-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | União de Leiria(home) | 2-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Leixoes(away) | 1-3 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Benfica B(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Feirense wins, 1 draw, 0 Amarante wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2025 | Amarante 0-0 Feirense | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Feirense score 0.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Amarante score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feirense | 0.6 | 1.4 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Amarante | 1.3 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Feirense sit 18th in Segunda Liga (1 point from 7 matches) and Amarante sit 16th (5 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Amarante | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 5 |
| 18 | Feirense | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 1 |
A question about Feirense vs Amarante?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Feirense vs Amarante?
- The Footlab AI model makes Amarante the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Feirense.
- Where and when is Feirense vs Amarante played?
- Feirense vs Amarante is played on May 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Marcolino de Castro, in the Segunda Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.