Farense vs Academica: prediction and stats
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 34Kick-off on May 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio de São Lúis, Faro
The Footlab AI model makes Farense the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Academica. The most likely score is 1-1. If Farense wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,863 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 29, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Farense vs Academica?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Farense (1,967) and Academica (2,025).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Farense vs Academica
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Farense
4-3-3- 7João Resende
- 17André Candeias
- 11Nélson Oliveira
- 29Cláudio Falcão
- 10S. Singh
- 27Mattheus Oliveira
- 22Toni Herrero
- 37Gonçalo Silva
- 44N. Zolotić
- 78Alex Pinto
- 97F. Buntić
Academica
4-3-3- 19Afonso Rodrigues
- 8K. Zohi
- 10I. Faure
- 20J. Sinisterra
- 25L. Pierre
- 92A. Coundoul
- 5Leandro Silva
- 3Ricardo Teixeira
- 2Xavi
- 54Ni
- 12Victor Braga
Computed on October 29, 2026 at 11:32 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Farense have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Academica have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Penafiel(home) | 1-4 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 17, 2026 | AD Marco 09(home) | 3-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Feirense(home) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Chaves(home) | 4-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Sacavenense(away) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Leixoes(home) | 4-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Amarante(home) | 3-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 11, 2026 | União de Leiria(away) | 2-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Real(away) | 4-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Benfica B(home) | 0-3 | Segunda Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Farense wins, 2 draws, 1 Academica win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 16, 2022 | Farense 2-1 Academica | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 14, 2022 | Academica 0-0 Farense | Segunda Liga |
| Feb 3, 2022 | Farense 3-1 Academica | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 9, 2019 | Academica 1-2 Farense | Segunda Liga |
| Jul 27, 2019 | Academica 1-1 Farense | Taça da Liga |
| Feb 17, 2019 | Academica 1-0 Farense | Segunda Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Farense score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Academica score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Farense | 1.4 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Academica | 1.8 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Farense sit 5th in Segunda Liga (14 points from 8 matches) and Academica sit 4th (15 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Academica | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 15 |
| 5 | Farense | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 10 | 14 |
A question about Farense vs Academica?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Farense vs Academica?
- The Footlab AI model makes Farense the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Academica.
- Where and when is Farense vs Academica played?
- Farense vs Academica is played on May 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio de São Lúis, in the Segunda Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.