Vizela vs Tondela: prediction and stats
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 34Kick-off on May 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Do Vizela, Caldas de Vizela
The Footlab AI model makes Vizela the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Tondela. The most likely score is 1-1. If Vizela wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,919 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vizela vs Tondela?
A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate Vizela (1,942) and Tondela (2,012).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Vizela vs Tondela
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Vizela
4-2-3-1- 36M. Lacava
- 8A. Bastunov
- 6Giovani Bamba
- 16Miguel Pires
- 24H. Mörschel
- 11N. Thio
- 20B. Godwin
- 13Luís Rocha
- 4J. Rhyner
- 55A. Hristov
- 1Antonio Gomis
Tondela
4-2-3-1- 19Tómané
- 20Hugo Félix
- 7Cascavel
- 97Cícero
- 37Sarará
- 8Hélder Tavares
- 12Zé Ricardo
- 4Christian Marques
- 15Carraça
- 6Farru
- 28Araujo Carlos
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 04:22 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vizela have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Tondela have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Atlético CP(away) | 0-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sporting CP B(home) | 0-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Bombarralense(away) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 14, 2026 | FC Porto B(away) | 2-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Felgueiras 1932(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Alverca(home) | 2-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Torreense(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Imortal Albufeira(away) | 5-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Portimonense(away) | 2-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | FC Porto B(home) | 3-0 | Segunda Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Vizela wins, 1 draw, 0 Tondela wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2025 | Tondela 0-1 Vizela | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 8, 2024 | Vizela 1-1 Tondela | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 22, 2022 | Tondela 2-3 Vizela | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 14, 2021 | Vizela 2-1 Tondela | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Vizela score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Tondela score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vizela | 0.9 | 1.2 | 7 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
| Tondela | 1.4 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vizela sit 8th in Segunda Liga (11 points from 7 matches) and Tondela sit 7th (12 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Tondela | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 12 |
| 8 | Vizela | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 |
A question about Vizela vs Tondela?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vizela vs Tondela?
- The Footlab AI model makes Vizela the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Tondela.
- Where and when is Vizela vs Tondela played?
- Vizela vs Tondela is played on May 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Do Vizela, in the Segunda Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.