Fenix vs Central Espanol: result 1-2 and analysis
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 21, 2012 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Parque Capurro, Montevideo
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What was the result of Fenix vs Central Espanol?
Central Espanol won 1-2 on October 21, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 53′R. RamírezCentral Espanol
- 55′M. GuevgeoziánFenix (pen.)
- 68′R. SanguinettiCentral Espanol
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fenix have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Central Espanol have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2012 | Juventud(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Oct 7, 2012 | Progreso(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Sep 29, 2012 | Wanderers(home) | 4-1 | Primera División |
| Sep 22, 2012 | Club Nacional(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Sep 15, 2012 | El Tanque Sisley(home) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2012 | Liverpool Montevideo(home) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Oct 6, 2012 | Penarol(away) | 0-3 | Primera División |
| Sep 30, 2012 | Racing Montevideo(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Sep 23, 2012 | Wanderers(away) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Sep 14, 2012 | Club Nacional(home) | 0-2 | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
Fenix score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Central Espanol score 1.1 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fenix | 1.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Central Espanol | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Central Espanol | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 24 |
| 5 | Central Espanol | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9 |
| 7 | Central Espanol | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 36 |
| 8 | Central Espanol | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 36 |
| 11 | Central Espanol | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy