Progreso vs Wanderers: result 1-0 and analysis
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 21, 2012 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Parque Abraham Paladino, Montevideo
Full time
What was the result of Progreso vs Wanderers?
Progreso won 1-0 on October 21, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 35′Carlos Alberto Canobbio BentaberryProgreso
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progreso have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Wanderers have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2012 | CA River Plate(away) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Oct 7, 2012 | Fenix(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Sep 29, 2012 | Bella Vista(away) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Sep 23, 2012 | Defensor Sporting(home) | 1-4 | Primera División |
| Sep 16, 2012 | Cerro Largo(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2012 | Cerro(away) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Oct 7, 2012 | CA River Plate(away) | 3-1 | Primera División |
| Sep 29, 2012 | Fenix(away) | 1-4 | Primera División |
| Sep 23, 2012 | Central Espanol(home) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Sep 16, 2012 | Danubio(away) | 4-2 | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
Progreso score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Wanderers score 1.7 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progreso | 1.3 | 1.5 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Wanderers | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Progreso sit 15th in Primera División (10 points from 15 matches) and Wanderers sit 10th (20 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wanderers | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 15 |
| 5 | Wanderers | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 31 | 39 |
| 7 | Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 |
| 9 | Wanderers | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| 10 | Wanderers | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 21 | 20 |
| 14 | Wanderers | 62 | 17 | 19 | 26 | 56 | 78 | 70 |
| 15 | Progreso | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 23 | 10 |
| 16 | Progreso | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Progreso | 61 | 14 | 13 | 34 | 56 | 97 | 55 |
| 16 | Progreso | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 37 | 16 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy