Ferencváros II vs MTK Budapest II: prediction and stats
NB III - SouthwestSouthwest - 10Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)FTC Népligeti Sportcentrum, Budapest
The Footlab model makes Ferencváros II the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for MTK Budapest II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ferencváros II vs MTK Budapest II?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Ferencváros II (1,571) and MTK Budapest II (1,509).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ferencváros II have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; MTK Budapest II have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Pécsi MFC(away) | 0-3 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Paksi SE II(away) | 2-2 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dunaharaszti MTK(home) | 2-0 | NB III - Southwest |
| May 24, 2026 | Dunaujvaros FC(away) | 3-2 | NB III - Southwest |
| May 17, 2026 | Pécsi MFC(home) | 3-4 | NB III - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Budaörs(away) | 0-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Siofok(away) | 1-2 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Szekszárd(home) | 8-0 | NB III - Southwest |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Budafoki LC(home) | 4-2 | NB III - Southwest |
| May 24, 2026 | Nagykanizsai ULE(away) | 0-1 | NB III - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ferencváros II win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 MTK Budapest II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 | MTK Budapest II 4-0 Ferencváros II | NB III - Southwest |
| Jul 27, 2025 | Ferencváros II 5-0 MTK Budapest II | NB III - Southwest |
| May 25, 2025 | Ferencváros II 2-2 MTK Budapest II | NB III - Southwest |
| Nov 10, 2024 | MTK Budapest II 1-1 Ferencváros II | NB III - Southwest |
| Mar 10, 2024 | MTK Budapest II 1-0 Ferencváros II | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Ferencváros II 2-0 MTK Budapest II | NB III - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: MTK Budapest II vs Ferencváros II on Nov 15, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Ferencváros II score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; MTK Budapest II score 1.9 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ferencváros II | 1.9 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| MTK Budapest II | 1.9 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ferencváros II sit 4th in NB III - Southwest (7 points from 4 matches) and MTK Budapest II sit 7th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Ferencváros II | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 7 |
| 7 | MTK Budapest II | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ferencváros II vs MTK Budapest II?
- The Footlab model makes Ferencváros II the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for MTK Budapest II.
- Where and when is Ferencváros II vs MTK Budapest II played?
- Ferencváros II vs MTK Budapest II is played on October 4, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at FTC Népligeti Sportcentrum, in the NB III - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.