Pécsi MFC vs Budafoki LC: prediction and stats
NB III - SouthwestSouthwest - 10Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)PMFC Stadion, Pécs
The Footlab model makes Pécsi MFC the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for Budafoki LC. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pécsi MFC vs Budafoki LC?
Pécsi MFC starts as the favourite with a 123-point Elo edge (1,705 vs 1,582).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pécsi MFC have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Budafoki LC have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Sárbogárd(home) | 3-0 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ferencváros II(home) | 3-0 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Sárbogárd(away) | 6-0 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Majosi(away) | 3-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Dunaharaszti MTK(home) | 2-0 | NB III - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Siofok(away) | 0-0 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 12, 2026 | PTE-PEAC(home) | 2-0 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sárbogárd(away) | 1-0 | NB III - Southwest |
| Jul 26, 2026 | MTK Budapest II(away) | 2-4 | NB III - Southwest |
| May 17, 2026 | Fehérvár FC(away) | 3-1 | NB II |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Pécsi MFC win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Budafoki LC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 19, 2024 | Budafoki LC 2-0 Pécsi MFC | NB II |
| Nov 26, 2023 | Pécsi MFC 1-0 Budafoki LC | NB II |
| Jan 29, 2023 | Pécsi MFC 0-1 Budafoki LC | NB II |
| Aug 7, 2022 | Budafoki LC 2-2 Pécsi MFC | NB II |
| Apr 6, 2022 | Budafoki LC 2-0 Pécsi MFC | NB II |
| Oct 17, 2021 | Pécsi MFC 3-1 Budafoki LC | NB II |
Last archived meeting: Budafoki LC vs Pécsi MFC on May 19, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Pécsi MFC score 2.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Budafoki LC score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pécsi MFC | 2.7 | 0.7 | 8 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Budafoki LC | 1.2 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pécsi MFC sit 1st in NB III - Southwest (12 points from 4 matches) and Budafoki LC sit 5th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pécsi MFC | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
| 5 | Budafoki LC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pécsi MFC vs Budafoki LC?
- The Footlab model makes Pécsi MFC the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for Budafoki LC.
- Where and when is Pécsi MFC vs Budafoki LC played?
- Pécsi MFC vs Budafoki LC is played on October 4, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at PMFC Stadion, in the NB III - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.