Paksi SE II vs Szekszárd: prediction and stats
NB III - SouthwestSouthwest - 10Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC)Paksi FC Stadion, Paks
The Footlab model makes Paksi SE II the favourite at 66%, against 18% for a draw and 16% for Szekszárd. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Paksi SE II vs Szekszárd?
A very open match: only 97 Elo points separate Paksi SE II (1,372) and Szekszárd (1,275).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Paksi SE II have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Szekszárd have 2, 1 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Iváncsa(home) | 0-2 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Ferencváros II(home) | 2-2 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Érdi VSE(away) | 1-3 | NB III - Southwest |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Majosi(away) | 2-2 | NB III - Southwest |
| May 24, 2026 | Szekszárd(away) | 2-3 | NB III - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | PTE-PEAC(home) | 0-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Kaposvar(home) | 0-3 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 9, 2026 | MTK Budapest II(away) | 0-8 | NB III - Southwest |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Iváncsa(away) | 0-4 | NB III - Southwest |
| May 24, 2026 | Paksi SE II(home) | 3-2 | NB III - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Paksi SE II win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Szekszárd win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Szekszárd 3-2 Paksi SE II | NB III - Southwest |
| Feb 18, 2026 | Szekszárd 3-2 Paksi SE II | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Paksi SE II 4-1 Szekszárd | NB III - Southwest |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Szekszárd 1-0 Paksi SE II | NB III - Southwest |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Paksi SE II 2-1 Szekszárd | NB III - Southwest |
| Jul 17, 2024 | Paksi SE II 3-0 Szekszárd | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Szekszárd vs Paksi SE II on May 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Paksi SE II score 1.5 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Szekszárd score 1.0 and concede 3.1. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paksi SE II | 1.5 | 2.1 | 1 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| Szekszárd | 1.0 | 3.1 | 1 | 7/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Paksi SE II sit 13th in NB III - Southwest (2 points from 4 matches) and Szekszárd sit 16th (0 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Paksi SE II | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 2 |
| 16 | Szekszárd | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 16 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Paksi SE II vs Szekszárd?
- The Footlab model makes Paksi SE II the favourite at 66%, against 18% for a draw and 16% for Szekszárd.
- Where and when is Paksi SE II vs Szekszárd played?
- Paksi SE II vs Szekszárd is played on October 3, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC) at Paksi FC Stadion, in the NB III - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.