Ferencváros II vs Paksi SE II: prediction and stats
NB III - SouthwestSouthwest - 17Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)FTC Népligeti Sportcentrum, Budapest
The Footlab model makes Ferencváros II the favourite at 67%, against 18% for a draw and 15% for Paksi SE II. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ferencváros II vs Paksi SE II?
Ferencváros II starts as the favourite with a 199-point Elo edge (1,571 vs 1,372).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ferencváros II have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Paksi SE II have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Pécsi MFC(away) | 0-3 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Paksi SE II(away) | 2-2 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dunaharaszti MTK(home) | 2-0 | NB III - Southwest |
| May 24, 2026 | Dunaujvaros FC(away) | 3-2 | NB III - Southwest |
| May 17, 2026 | Pécsi MFC(home) | 3-4 | NB III - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Iváncsa(home) | 0-2 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Ferencváros II(home) | 2-2 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Érdi VSE(away) | 1-3 | NB III - Southwest |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Majosi(away) | 2-2 | NB III - Southwest |
| May 24, 2026 | Szekszárd(away) | 2-3 | NB III - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Ferencváros II win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Paksi SE II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Paksi SE II 2-2 Ferencváros II | NB III - Southwest |
| Mar 1, 2026 | Paksi SE II 1-3 Ferencváros II | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Ferencváros II 2-0 Paksi SE II | NB III - Southwest |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Ferencváros II 3-1 Paksi SE II | NB III - Southwest |
| Sep 8, 2024 | Paksi SE II 1-2 Ferencváros II | NB III - Southwest |
| May 26, 2024 | Ferencváros II 4-0 Paksi SE II | NB III - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: Paksi SE II vs Ferencváros II on Aug 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ferencváros II score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Paksi SE II score 1.5 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ferencváros II | 1.9 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Paksi SE II | 1.5 | 2.1 | 1 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ferencváros II sit 4th in NB III - Southwest (7 points from 4 matches) and Paksi SE II sit 13th (2 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Ferencváros II | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 7 |
| 13 | Paksi SE II | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ferencváros II vs Paksi SE II?
- The Footlab model makes Ferencváros II the favourite at 67%, against 18% for a draw and 15% for Paksi SE II.
- Where and when is Ferencváros II vs Paksi SE II played?
- Ferencváros II vs Paksi SE II is played on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at FTC Népligeti Sportcentrum, in the NB III - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.