Pécsi MFC vs Sárbogárd: prediction and stats
NB III - SouthwestSouthwest - 17Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)PMFC Stadion, Pécs
The Footlab AI model makes Pécsi MFC the favourite at 93%, against 5% for a draw and 2% for Sárbogárd. The most likely score is 3-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pécsi MFC vs Sárbogárd?
Pécsi MFC is a heavy favourite: 1,762 Elo points against 1,324, a 437-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Pécsi MFC vs Sárbogárd
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Pécsi MFC
Not enough data to predict the Pécsi MFC lineup.
Sárbogárd
Not enough data to predict the Sárbogárd lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 10:29 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pécsi MFC have 14 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats; Sárbogárd have 2, 2 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Siofok(away) | 1-0 | NB III - Southwest |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Budafoki LC(home) | 2-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| Sep 26, 2026 | PTE-PEAC(away) | 1-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| Sep 19, 2026 | MTK Budapest II(home) | 3-0 | NB III - Southwest |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Tiszakecske FC(home) | 3-2 | Magyar Kupa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Iváncsa(away) | 1-4 | NB III - Southwest |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Budaörs(home) | 1-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Érdi VSE(away) | 3-4 | NB III - Southwest |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Szekszárd(home) | 2-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Ferencváros II(away) | 0-1 | NB III - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Pécsi MFC wins, 0 draws, 0 Sárbogárd wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Pécsi MFC 3-0 Sárbogárd | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Sárbogárd 0-6 Pécsi MFC | NB III - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: Pécsi MFC vs Sárbogárd on Aug 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pécsi MFC score 2.8 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Sárbogárd score 1.0 and concede 2.6. The model gives a 81% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pécsi MFC | 2.8 | 0.6 | 9 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Sárbogárd | 1.0 | 2.6 | 0 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pécsi MFC sit 1st in NB III - Southwest (31 points from 11 matches) and Sárbogárd sit 14th (5 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pécsi MFC | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 4 | 31 |
| 14 | Sárbogárd | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 5 |
A question about Pécsi MFC vs Sárbogárd?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pécsi MFC vs Sárbogárd?
- The Footlab AI model makes Pécsi MFC the favourite at 93%, against 5% for a draw and 2% for Sárbogárd.
- Where and when is Pécsi MFC vs Sárbogárd played?
- Pécsi MFC vs Sárbogárd is played on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at PMFC Stadion, in the NB III - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 81% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.