Ferencvarosi TC vs Ujpest: prediction and stats
NB IRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Groupama Aréna, Budapest
The Footlab model makes Ferencvarosi TC the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Ujpest. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ferencvarosi TC vs Ujpest?
Ferencvarosi TC starts as the favourite with a 283-point Elo edge (2,090 vs 1,807).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ferencvarosi TC have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Ujpest have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Trabzonspor(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Zalaegerszegi TE(away) | 1-0 | NB I |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Gornik Zabrze(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Real Madrid(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Gornik Zabrze(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Paks(away) | 0-2 | NB I |
| Aug 15, 2026 | MTK Budapest(home) | 1-1 | NB I |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kisvarda FC(away) | 4-2 | NB I |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Debreceni VSC(home) | 4-2 | NB I |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Nyiregyhaza(away) | 1-2 | NB I |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Ferencvarosi TC win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Ujpest win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Ujpest 0-5 Ferencvarosi TC | NB I |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Ferencvarosi TC 3-0 Ujpest | NB I |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Ujpest 1-1 Ferencvarosi TC | NB I |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Ferencvarosi TC 2-0 Ujpest | NB I |
| Apr 2, 2025 | Ferencvarosi TC 3-1 Ujpest | Magyar Kupa |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Ujpest 0-0 Ferencvarosi TC | NB I |
Last archived meeting: Ujpest vs Ferencvarosi TC on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ferencvarosi TC score 1.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Ujpest score 2.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ferencvarosi TC | 1.7 | 0.8 | 8 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Ujpest | 2.0 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ferencvarosi TC sit 9th in NB I (4 points from 3 matches) and Ujpest sit 4th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Ujpest | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 7 |
| 9 | Ferencvarosi TC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ferencvarosi TC vs Ujpest?
- The Footlab model makes Ferencvarosi TC the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Ujpest.
- Where and when is Ferencvarosi TC vs Ujpest played?
- Ferencvarosi TC vs Ujpest is played on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Groupama Aréna, in the NB I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.