Paks vs Debreceni VSC: prediction and stats
NB IRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Paksi FC Stadion, Paks
The Footlab model makes Paks the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Debreceni VSC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Paks vs Debreceni VSC?
A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Paks (1,890) and Debreceni VSC (1,829).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Paks have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Debreceni VSC have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Ujpest(home) | 2-0 | NB I |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Puskas Academy(away) | 2-3 | NB I |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Budapest Honved(home) | 2-2 | NB I |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Zalaegerszegi TE(away) | 2-5 | NB I |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Panathinaikos(away) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kisvarda FC(away) | 0-0 | NB I |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Gyori ETO FC(home) | 1-1 | NB I |
| Aug 12, 2026 | FC Copenhagen(away) | 1-5 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Nyiregyhaza(home) | 1-0 | NB I |
| Aug 6, 2026 | FC Copenhagen(home) | 0-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Paks win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Debreceni VSC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Paks 5-2 Debreceni VSC | NB I |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Debreceni VSC 1-0 Paks | NB I |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Paks 1-1 Debreceni VSC | NB I |
| May 18, 2025 | Debreceni VSC 0-0 Paks | NB I |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Paks 4-3 Debreceni VSC | NB I |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Debreceni VSC 0-5 Paks | NB I |
How many goals should we expect?
Paks score 2.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Debreceni VSC score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paks | 2.5 | 2.3 | 2 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
| Debreceni VSC | 1.1 | 1.5 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Paks sit 5th in NB I (7 points from 5 matches) and Debreceni VSC sit 10th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Paks | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 7 |
| 10 | Debreceni VSC | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Paks vs Debreceni VSC?
- The Footlab model makes Paks the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Debreceni VSC.
- Where and when is Paks vs Debreceni VSC played?
- Paks vs Debreceni VSC is played on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Paksi FC Stadion, in the NB I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.