Where and when is Fernwald vs Vfb Marburg played?

Fernwald vs Vfb Marburg is played on March 13, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Sportplatz Steinbach, in the Oberliga - Hessen.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Fernwald vs Vfb Marburg: prediction and stats

Oberliga - HessenHessen - 25Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Sportplatz Steinbach, Fernwald

Fernwald

Vfb Marburg

The Footlab model makes Fernwald the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Vfb Marburg. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Fernwald vs Vfb Marburg?

A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Fernwald (1,811) and Vfb Marburg (1,750).

Fernwald win50 %

Draw24 %

Vfb Marburg win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fernwald have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Vfb Marburg have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Fernwald
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Kassel 2(away)	2-1	Oberliga - Hessen
Aug 15, 2026	Hünfelder SV(home)	1-3	Oberliga - Hessen
Aug 12, 2026	TuBa Pohlheim(home)	1-1	Oberliga - Hessen
Aug 8, 2026	Bayern Alzenau(away)	1-1	Oberliga - Hessen
Jul 31, 2026	Eintracht Stadtallendorf(home)	2-0	Oberliga - Hessen

Vfb Marburg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	1960 Hanau(away)	1-0	Oberliga - Hessen
Aug 15, 2026	Kassel 2(home)	1-1	Oberliga - Hessen
Aug 12, 2026	Eintracht Stadtallendorf(home)	2-2	Oberliga - Hessen
Aug 7, 2026	Hünfelder SV(away)	1-0	Oberliga - Hessen
Aug 1, 2026	Bayern Alzenau(home)	2-1	Oberliga - Hessen

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Fernwald win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Vfb Marburg win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Nov 29, 2025	Vfb Marburg 1-0 Fernwald	Oberliga - Hessen
Aug 16, 2025	Fernwald 5-0 Vfb Marburg	Oberliga - Hessen
Apr 26, 2025	Fernwald 2-0 Vfb Marburg	Oberliga - Hessen
Oct 6, 2024	Vfb Marburg 1-1 Fernwald	Oberliga - Hessen
Apr 27, 2024	Fernwald 5-1 Vfb Marburg	Oberliga - Hessen
Oct 7, 2023	Vfb Marburg 0-4 Fernwald	Oberliga - Hessen

Last archived meeting: Vfb Marburg vs Fernwald on Nov 29, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Fernwald score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Vfb Marburg score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Fernwald	1.7	1.3	4	10/15	8/15
Vfb Marburg	1.5	1.3	4	8/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Fernwald sit 9th in Oberliga - Hessen (8 points from 5 matches) and Vfb Marburg sit 5th (11 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Vfb Marburg	5	3	2	0	7	4	11
9	Fernwald	5	2	2	1	7	6	8

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Fernwald vs Vfb Marburg?: The Footlab model makes Fernwald the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Vfb Marburg.
Where and when is Fernwald vs Vfb Marburg played?: Fernwald vs Vfb Marburg is played on March 13, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Sportplatz Steinbach, in the Oberliga - Hessen.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.