Fernwald vs Vfb Marburg: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HessenHessen - 25Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Sportplatz Steinbach, Fernwald
The Footlab AI model makes Fernwald the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Vfb Marburg. The most likely score is 1-1. If Fernwald wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,591 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fernwald vs Vfb Marburg?
A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Fernwald (1,823) and Vfb Marburg (1,757).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Fernwald vs Vfb Marburg
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Fernwald
Not enough data to predict the Fernwald lineup.
Vfb Marburg
Not enough data to predict the Vfb Marburg lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 07:14 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fernwald have 4 wins, 9 draws and 2 defeats; Vfb Marburg have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Kassel(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Rot-Weiß Walldorf(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Hummetroth(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Eddersheim(home) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Sep 12, 2026 | FC Gießen(away) | 3-4 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Baunatal(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Hadamar(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Kassel(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Rot-Weiß Walldorf(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Hummetroth(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Fernwald wins, 1 draw, 1 Vfb Marburg win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | Vfb Marburg 0-2 Fernwald | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Vfb Marburg 1-0 Fernwald | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Fernwald 5-0 Vfb Marburg | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Fernwald 2-0 Vfb Marburg | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Vfb Marburg 1-1 Fernwald | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Fernwald 5-1 Vfb Marburg | Oberliga - Hessen |
Last archived meeting: Vfb Marburg vs Fernwald on Sep 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fernwald score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Vfb Marburg score 1.6 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fernwald | 1.8 | 1.3 | 5 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Vfb Marburg | 1.6 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fernwald sit 10th in Oberliga - Hessen (16 points from 12 matches) and Vfb Marburg sit 5th (20 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Vfb Marburg | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 14 | 20 |
| 10 | Fernwald | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 16 |
A question about Fernwald vs Vfb Marburg?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fernwald vs Vfb Marburg?
- The Footlab AI model makes Fernwald the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Vfb Marburg.
- Where and when is Fernwald vs Vfb Marburg played?
- Fernwald vs Vfb Marburg is played on March 13, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Sportplatz Steinbach, in the Oberliga - Hessen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 13, 2027BaunatalvsTuBa Pohlheim
- Mar 13, 2027FC GießenvsUnter-Flockenbach
- Mar 13, 2027HummetrothvsKassel 2
- Mar 13, 2027Darmstadt 98 IIvsFriedberg
- Mar 13, 2027HadamarvsEintracht Stadtallendorf
- Mar 14, 2027Eddersheimvs1960 Hanau
- Mar 14, 2027KasselvsBayern Alzenau
- Mar 14, 2027Rot-Weiß WalldorfvsHünfelder SV