Ferroviária vs Fluminense: result 3-3 and analysis
Copa Do Brasil2nd RoundKick-off on May 4, 2016 at 10:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Doutor Adhemar de Barros, Araraquara, São Paulo
Full time
What was the result of Ferroviária vs Fluminense?
Ferroviária and Fluminense drew 3-3 on May 4, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 17′Frederico Chaves GuedesFluminense (pen.)
- 29′Frederico Chaves GuedesFluminense
- 45′Tiago MarquesFerroviária
- 45′LuanFerroviária
- 51′Tiago MarquesFerroviária
- 75′Magno Alves de AraújoFluminense
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 2 matches in all competitions, Ferroviária have 1 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats; Fluminense have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2016 | Salgueiro(away) | 1-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Mar 17, 2016 | Salgueiro(home) | 1-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2016 | Tombense(away) | 3-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Dec 6, 2015 | Figueirense(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Nov 28, 2015 | Internacional(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Nov 22, 2015 | Avai(home) | 3-1 | Serie A |
| Nov 19, 2015 | Gremio(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Ferroviária score 1.0 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 2; Fluminense score 1.1 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ferroviária | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1 | 1/2 | 0/2 |
| Fluminense | 1.1 | 1.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 2 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy