Fortaleza EC vs Flamengo: result 2-1 and analysis
Copa Do Brasil2nd RoundKick-off on May 5, 2016 at 12:45 AM (UTC)Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo, Fortaleza, Ceará
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What was the result of Fortaleza EC vs Flamengo?
Fortaleza EC won 2-1 on May 5, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 20′AnselmoFortaleza EC
- 66′P. GuerreroFlamengo
- 72′Felipe FerreiraFortaleza EC
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fortaleza EC have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; Flamengo have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2016 | Imperatriz(home) | 2-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Mar 17, 2016 | Imperatriz(away) | 1-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Oct 17, 2015 | Brasil DE Pelotas(home) | 0-0 | Serie C |
| Oct 10, 2015 | Brasil DE Pelotas(away) | 0-1 | Serie C |
| Sep 27, 2015 | Águia de Marabá(home) | 4-1 | Serie C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2016 | Confiança(home) | 3-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Mar 17, 2016 | Confiança(away) | 0-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Dec 6, 2015 | Palmeiras(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Nov 29, 2015 | Atletico Paranaense(away) | 0-3 | Serie A |
| Nov 22, 2015 | Ponte Preta(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Fortaleza EC score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Flamengo score 0.9 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortaleza EC | 1.5 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Flamengo | 0.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy