Ferrymead Bays vs Cashmere Technical: prediction and stats
National League - NationalChampionship Group - 5Kick-off on October 23, 2026 at 06:15 AM (UTC)Ferrymead Park, Christchurch
The Footlab AI model makes Cashmere Technical the favourite at 76%, against 14% for a draw and 10% for Ferrymead Bays. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,619 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ferrymead Bays vs Cashmere Technical?
Cashmere Technical starts as the favourite with a 246-point Elo edge (1,932 vs 1,686).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ferrymead Bays vs Cashmere Technical
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ferrymead Bays
Not enough data to predict the Ferrymead Bays lineup.
Cashmere Technical
Not enough data to predict the Cashmere Technical lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 05:10 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ferrymead Bays have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Cashmere Technical have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Auckland United(away) | 0-2 | National League - National |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Miramar(home) | 1-4 | National League - National |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Wellington Olympic(away) | 2-1 | National League - National |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Eastern Suburbs(home) | 0-0 | National League - National |
| Feb 24, 2026 | Cashmere Technical(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Auckland FC 2(home) | 3-0 | National League - National |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Napier City Rovers(away) | 1-2 | National League - National |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Wellington Phoenix II(home) | 10-0 | National League - National |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Birkenhead United(away) | 4-0 | National League - National |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Fencibles United(home) | 1-2 | Chatham Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Ferrymead Bays wins, 1 draw, 5 Cashmere Technical wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2026 | Cashmere Technical 2-1 Ferrymead Bays | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Ferrymead Bays 0-3 Cashmere Technical | National League - Southern |
| May 3, 2025 | Cashmere Technical 3-2 Ferrymead Bays | National League - Southern |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Cashmere Technical 3-0 Ferrymead Bays | National League - Southern |
| May 25, 2024 | Ferrymead Bays 2-3 Cashmere Technical | National League - Southern |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Cashmere Technical 2-2 Ferrymead Bays | National League - Southern |
Last archived meeting: Cashmere Technical vs Ferrymead Bays on Feb 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ferrymead Bays score 1.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Cashmere Technical score 3.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ferrymead Bays | 1.3 | 1.8 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Cashmere Technical | 3.7 | 0.9 | 7 | 8/15 | 15/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ferrymead Bays sit 6th in National League - National (4 points from 3 matches) and Cashmere Technical sit 4th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cashmere Technical | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Ferrymead Bays | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
A question about Ferrymead Bays vs Cashmere Technical?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ferrymead Bays vs Cashmere Technical?
- The Footlab AI model makes Cashmere Technical the favourite at 76%, against 14% for a draw and 10% for Ferrymead Bays.
- Where and when is Ferrymead Bays vs Cashmere Technical played?
- Ferrymead Bays vs Cashmere Technical is played on October 23, 2026 at 06:15 AM (UTC) at Ferrymead Park, in the National League - National.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.