Fezzanese vs Derthona: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone AGroup A - 29Kick-off on March 25, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Miro Luperi, Sarzana
The Footlab AI model makes Derthona the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Fezzanese. The most likely score is 1-1. If Derthona wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fezzanese vs Derthona?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Fezzanese (1,508) and Derthona (1,579).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Fezzanese vs Derthona
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Fezzanese
Not enough data to predict the Fezzanese lineup.
Derthona
Not enough data to predict the Derthona lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 06:11 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fezzanese have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Derthona have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Alessandria(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Valenzana(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Imperia(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Gozzano(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sestri Levante(away) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Chisola(away) | 2-4 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Alessandria(home) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Saluzzo(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Millesimo(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Ligorna(away) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Fezzanese wins, 2 draws, 0 Derthona wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2024 | Derthona 0-1 Fezzanese | Serie D - Girone A |
| Dec 10, 2023 | Fezzanese 1-1 Derthona | Serie D - Girone A |
| Jan 29, 2023 | Derthona 1-1 Fezzanese | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 28, 2022 | Fezzanese 2-1 Derthona | Serie D - Girone A |
Last archived meeting: Derthona vs Fezzanese on Apr 21, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Fezzanese score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Derthona score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fezzanese | 1.1 | 1.9 | 2 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Derthona | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fezzanese sit 13th in Serie D - Girone A (7 points from 6 matches) and Derthona sit 3rd (11 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Derthona | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 11 |
| 13 | Fezzanese | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
A question about Fezzanese vs Derthona?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fezzanese vs Derthona?
- The Footlab AI model makes Derthona the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Fezzanese.
- Where and when is Fezzanese vs Derthona played?
- Fezzanese vs Derthona is played on March 25, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Miro Luperi, in the Serie D - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.