Fidelis Andria vs Martina Franca: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone HGroup H - 16Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Degli Ulivi, Andria
The Footlab model makes Fidelis Andria the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Martina Franca. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fidelis Andria vs Martina Franca?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Fidelis Andria (1,749) and Martina Franca (1,820).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fidelis Andria have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Martina Franca have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Pompei(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Manfredonia(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Sarnese(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Virtus Francavilla(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Francavilla(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Paganese(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| May 10, 2026 | Nardò(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| May 3, 2026 | Nola 1925(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Heraclea(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Città di Fasano(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Fidelis Andria win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Martina Franca win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Fidelis Andria 1-2 Martina Franca | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 24, 2025 | Martina Franca 1-1 Fidelis Andria | Serie D - Girone H |
| May 11, 2025 | Martina Franca 2-2 Fidelis Andria | Serie D - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Fidelis Andria 0-0 Martina Franca | Serie D - Girone H |
| Dec 15, 2024 | Martina Franca 2-1 Fidelis Andria | Serie D - Girone H |
| Feb 4, 2024 | Fidelis Andria 0-1 Martina Franca | Serie D - Girone H |
Last archived meeting: Fidelis Andria vs Martina Franca on Jan 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fidelis Andria score 1.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Martina Franca score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fidelis Andria | 1.0 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Martina Franca | 1.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fidelis Andria sit 8th in Serie D - Girone H (48 points from 34 matches) and Martina Franca sit 2nd (62 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Martina Franca | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 47 | 30 | 62 |
| 8 | Fidelis Andria | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 35 | 28 | 48 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fidelis Andria vs Martina Franca?
- The Footlab model makes Fidelis Andria the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Martina Franca.
- Where and when is Fidelis Andria vs Martina Franca played?
- Fidelis Andria vs Martina Franca is played on December 13, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Degli Ulivi, in the Serie D - Girone H.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.