Francavilla vs Ebolitana: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone HGroup H - 16Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Nunzio Fittipaldi, Francavilla in Sinni
The Footlab AI model makes Francavilla the favourite at 51%, against 29% for a draw and 20% for Ebolitana. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 5,238 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Francavilla vs Ebolitana?
On Elo ratings, Francavilla has 1,680 points and Ebolitana 1,676.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Francavilla vs Ebolitana
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Francavilla
Not enough data to predict the Francavilla lineup.
Ebolitana
Not enough data to predict the Ebolitana lineup.
Computed on November 10, 2026 at 04:31 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Francavilla have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Ebolitana have 2, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Virtus Francavilla(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Fidelis Andria(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Real Forio 2014(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Gravina(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Gladiator(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Fidelis Andria(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Brindisi(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Gravina(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 18, 2026 | USD Palmese(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Martina Franca(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
How many goals should we expect?
Francavilla score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ebolitana score 0.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Francavilla | 1.2 | 1.1 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Ebolitana | 0.7 | 1.5 | 2 | 5/11 | 4/11 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Francavilla sit 16th in Serie D - Girone H (8 points from 11 matches) and Ebolitana sit 14th (10 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Ebolitana | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 10 |
| 16 | Francavilla | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 8 |
A question about Francavilla vs Ebolitana?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Francavilla vs Ebolitana?
- The Footlab AI model makes Francavilla the favourite at 51%, against 29% for a draw and 20% for Ebolitana.
- Where and when is Francavilla vs Ebolitana played?
- Francavilla vs Ebolitana is played on December 13, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Nunzio Fittipaldi, in the Serie D - Girone H.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.