Fiľakovo vs Čadca: prediction and stats
3. liga - CenterCentral - 11Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Štadión FTC Fiľakovo, Fiľakovo
The Footlab model makes Fiľakovo the favourite at 64%, against 20% for a draw and 16% for Čadca. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fiľakovo vs Čadca?
Fiľakovo starts as the favourite with a 188-point Elo edge (1,553 vs 1,365).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fiľakovo have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Čadca have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Baník Kalinovo(away) | 0-0 | 3. liga - Center |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Hronec(away) | 4-0 | Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Novohrad Lučenec(home) | 1-0 | 3. liga - Center |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Banská Byst II(home) | 1-0 | 3. liga - Center |
| May 30, 2026 | Novohrad Lučenec(home) | 3-1 | 3. liga - Center |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Novohrad Lučenec(away) | 1-3 | 3. liga - Center |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Kysučan Korňa(away) | 7-0 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Banská Byst II(home) | 6-0 | 3. liga - Center |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Podkonice(away) | 0-3 | 3. liga - Center |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Považská Bystrica(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Fiľakovo win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Čadca win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2022 | Čadca 1-1 Fiľakovo | 3. liga - Center |
| Sep 12, 2021 | Fiľakovo 6-0 Čadca | 3. liga - Center |
| Sep 13, 2020 | Fiľakovo 3-1 Čadca | 3. liga - Center |
How many goals should we expect?
Fiľakovo score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Čadca score 2.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiľakovo | 1.2 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Čadca | 2.1 | 1.9 | 3 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Fiľakovo | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 46 | 44 | 43 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fiľakovo vs Čadca?
- The Footlab model makes Fiľakovo the favourite at 64%, against 20% for a draw and 16% for Čadca.
- Where and when is Fiľakovo vs Čadca played?
- Fiľakovo vs Čadca is played on October 18, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Štadión FTC Fiľakovo, in the 3. liga - Center.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.