Fiľakovo vs Dukla Banská Bystrica: prediction and stats
CupRound of 64Kick-off on September 2, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Štadión FTC Fiľakovo, Fiľakovo
The Footlab model makes Dukla Banská Bystrica the favourite at 83%, against 11% for a draw and 6% for Fiľakovo. The most likely score is 0-3.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fiľakovo vs Dukla Banská Bystrica?
Dukla Banská Bystrica starts as the favourite with a 193-point Elo edge (1,748 vs 1,556).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fiľakovo have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Dukla Banská Bystrica have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Baník Kalinovo(away) | 0-0 | 3. liga - Center |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Hronec(away) | 4-0 | Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Novohrad Lučenec(home) | 1-0 | 3. liga - Center |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Banská Byst II(home) | 1-0 | 3. liga - Center |
| May 30, 2026 | Novohrad Lučenec(home) | 3-1 | 3. liga - Center |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ružomberok(away) | 1-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Lovca(away) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Žilina(home) | 3-4 | Super Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Spartak Trnava(away) | 0-3 | Super Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Dunajska Streda(away) | 0-2 | Super Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Fiľakovo score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Dukla Banská Bystrica score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 79% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiľakovo | 1.2 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Dukla Banská Bystrica | 0.9 | 1.7 | 5 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fiľakovo vs Dukla Banská Bystrica?
- The Footlab model makes Dukla Banská Bystrica the favourite at 83%, against 11% for a draw and 6% for Fiľakovo.
- Where and when is Fiľakovo vs Dukla Banská Bystrica played?
- Fiľakovo vs Dukla Banská Bystrica is played on September 2, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Štadión FTC Fiľakovo, in the Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 79% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.