MSK Tesla Stropkov vs Humenné: prediction and stats
CupRound of 64Kick-off on September 2, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Futbalový štadión MŠK TESLA Stropkov, Stropkov
The Footlab model makes Humenné the favourite at 87%, against 9% for a draw and 5% for MSK Tesla Stropkov. The most likely score is 0-3.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win MSK Tesla Stropkov vs Humenné?
Humenné starts as the favourite with a 107-point Elo edge (1,738 vs 1,631).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, MSK Tesla Stropkov have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Humenné have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Slovan Sabinov(home) | 3-0 | 3. liga - East |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Vranov nad Topľou(away) | 3-2 | 3. liga - East |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Lokomotíva Košice(home) | 1-1 | 3. liga - East |
| May 30, 2026 | Spišské Podhradie(home) | 6-1 | 3. liga - East |
| May 23, 2026 | Lokomotíva Košice(away) | 0-0 | 3. liga - East |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Liptovský Mikuláš(home) | 1-0 | 2. liga |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Slovan Bratislava II(away) | 0-3 | 2. liga |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Snina(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lokomotíva Zvolen(home) | 1-0 | 2. liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Šamorín(away) | 1-3 | 2. liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 MSK Tesla Stropkov win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Humenné win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Humenné 4-1 MSK Tesla Stropkov | 3. liga - East |
| Aug 31, 2025 | MSK Tesla Stropkov 0-1 Humenné | 3. liga - East |
| Jul 9, 2025 | Humenné 3-3 MSK Tesla Stropkov | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 26, 2022 | Humenné 7-2 MSK Tesla Stropkov | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 12, 2020 | Humenné 5-1 MSK Tesla Stropkov | 3. liga - East |
Last archived meeting: Humenné vs MSK Tesla Stropkov on Apr 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
MSK Tesla Stropkov score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Humenné score 2.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 85% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSK Tesla Stropkov | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Humenné | 2.8 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for MSK Tesla Stropkov vs Humenné?
- The Footlab model makes Humenné the favourite at 87%, against 9% for a draw and 5% for MSK Tesla Stropkov.
- Where and when is MSK Tesla Stropkov vs Humenné played?
- MSK Tesla Stropkov vs Humenné is played on September 2, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Futbalový štadión MŠK TESLA Stropkov, in the Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 85% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.