Púchov vs Spartak Trnava: prediction and stats
CupRound of 64Kick-off on September 2, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Mestský štadión, Púchov
The Footlab model makes Spartak Trnava the favourite at 90%, against 7% for a draw and 3% for Púchov. The most likely score is 0-3.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Púchov vs Spartak Trnava?
Spartak Trnava is a heavy favourite: 1,961 Elo points against 1,634, a 327-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Púchov have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Spartak Trnava have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Veľké Ludince(away) | 3-0 | 3. liga - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Spartak Myjava(home) | 2-2 | 3. liga - West |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Nitra(home) | 0-0 | 3. liga - West |
| May 15, 2026 | Považská Bystrica(home) | 0-1 | 2. liga |
| May 8, 2026 | Liptovský Mikuláš(away) | 0-3 | 2. liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | AS Trencin(away) | 4-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Trenčianske Stankovce(home) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Zemplín Michalovce(home) | 2-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dukla Banská Bystrica(home) | 3-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Komárno(away) | 2-1 | Super Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Púchov score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Spartak Trnava score 1.6 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 84% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Púchov | 1.1 | 1.2 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Spartak Trnava | 1.6 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Púchov vs Spartak Trnava?
- The Footlab model makes Spartak Trnava the favourite at 90%, against 7% for a draw and 3% for Púchov.
- Where and when is Púchov vs Spartak Trnava played?
- Púchov vs Spartak Trnava is played on September 2, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Mestský štadión, in the Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 84% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 1, 2026TomášovvsInter Bratislava
- Sep 2, 2026Lokomotíva KošicevsSlávia TU Košice
- Sep 2, 2026FiľakovovsDukla Banská Bystrica
- Sep 2, 2026Nové ZámkyvsPetržalka
- Sep 2, 2026Veľké LudincevsDunajska Streda
- Sep 2, 2026MSK Tesla StropkovvsHumenné
- Sep 2, 2026Spartak MyjavavsGalanta
- Sep 2, 2026Fomat MartinvsSkalica