Match

Finland U23 W vs Estonia W: prediction and stats

Friendlies WomenFriendly International WomenKick-off on October 13, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)

Finland U23 WEstonia W

The Footlab AI model makes Finland U23 W the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Estonia W. The most likely score is 1-1. If Finland U23 W wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Finland U23 W vs Estonia W?

On Elo ratings, Finland U23 W has 1,367 points and Estonia W 1,287.

51%26%23%
Finland U23 W winDrawEstonia W win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Finland U23 W vs Estonia W

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Finland U23 W

4-3-3
  1. 11E. Seiro
  2. 9L. Halttunen
  3. 16S. Maatta
  1. 7A. Nurmi
  2. 22I. Sarjanoja
  3. 3N. Kalske
  1. 5J. Mansaray
  2. 19L. Hillberg
  3. 2H. Raijas
  4. 4H. Perkaus
  1. 12E. Dannback

Estonia W

4-3-3
  1. 14L. Tammik
  2. 22K. Teern
  3. 24G. Saar
  1. 17M. Lillemäe
  2. 4L. Palts
  3. 8K. Purgats
  1. 3S. Räämet
  2. 16K. Rosen
  3. 2K. Tullus
  4. 19V. Kubassova
  1. 12K. Käpa

Computed on October 9, 2026 at 02:33 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 5 matches in all competitions, Finland U23 W have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat; Estonia W have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Finland U23 W
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jun 9, 2026Korea Republic U20 W(away)2-1Friendlies Women
Jun 3, 2026Brazil U20 W(home)4-1Friendlies Women
Oct 28, 2025Mexico U23 W(home)1-1Friendlies Women
Oct 22, 2025Denmark U23 W(home)1-3Friendlies Women
Feb 24, 2025Portugal U23 W(away)1-1Friendlies Women
Estonia W
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jun 9, 2026Bosnia-Herzegovina W(home)1-1World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe
Jun 5, 2026Liechtenstein W(away)5-0World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe
Apr 18, 2026Lithuania W(home)2-1World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe
Apr 14, 2026Liechtenstein W(home)2-1World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe
Apr 10, 2026Czechia U23 W(away)0-4Friendlies Women

How many goals should we expect?

Finland U23 W score 1.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 5; Estonia W score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Finland U23 W1.81.405/53/5
Estonia W1.11.346/157/15

Over the last 5 matches in all competitions.

A question about Finland U23 W vs Estonia W?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Finland U23 W vs Estonia W?
The Footlab AI model makes Finland U23 W the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Estonia W.
Where and when is Finland U23 W vs Estonia W played?
Finland U23 W vs Estonia W is played on October 13, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC), in the Friendlies Women.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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