Finn Harps vs Kerry: result 4-2 and analysis
First DivisionRegular Season - 10Kick-off on April 18, 2025 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Finn Park, Ballybofey
Full time
What was the result of Finn Harps vs Kerry?
Finn Harps won 4-2 on April 18, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 22′G. HodginsFinn Harps (pen.)
- 30′S. AladesanusiKerry
- 36′D. OkwuteKerry
- 57′M. HutchisonFinn Harps
- 71′Dara McGuinnessFinn Harps (pen.)
- 90′Dara McGuinnessFinn Harps
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Finn Harps have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Kerry have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2025 | Wexford(away) | 2-2 | First Division |
| Apr 4, 2025 | Longford Town(home) | 1-1 | First Division |
| Mar 28, 2025 | Athlone Town(away) | 1-0 | First Division |
| Mar 21, 2025 | Bray Wanderers(home) | 5-0 | First Division |
| Mar 14, 2025 | Cobh Ramblers(home) | 1-2 | First Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2025 | Athlone Town(home) | 3-0 | First Division |
| Apr 4, 2025 | Treaty United(away) | 0-3 | First Division |
| Mar 28, 2025 | UCD(home) | 0-1 | First Division |
| Mar 21, 2025 | Wexford(away) | 2-1 | First Division |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Longford Town(away) | 2-3 | First Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Finn Harps win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Kerry win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2025 | Kerry 2-0 Finn Harps | First Division |
| Sep 27, 2024 | Kerry 1-1 Finn Harps | First Division |
| Jul 4, 2024 | Finn Harps 1-0 Kerry | First Division |
| May 24, 2024 | Kerry 2-0 Finn Harps | First Division |
| Mar 22, 2024 | Finn Harps 0-0 Kerry | First Division |
| Sep 29, 2023 | Finn Harps 2-1 Kerry | First Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Finn Harps score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Kerry score 0.9 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Finn Harps | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Kerry | 0.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Finn Harps sit 9th in First Division (18 points from 20 matches) and Kerry sit 8th (22 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Kerry | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 35 | 34 | 36 |
| 8 | Kerry | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 24 | 22 |
| 9 | Finn Harps | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 18 |
| 10 | Finn Harps | 28 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 22 | 56 | 22 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy