Finn Harps vs UCD: result 1-2 and analysis
First DivisionRegular Season - 16Kick-off on May 23, 2025 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Finn Park, Ballybofey
Full time
What was the result of Finn Harps vs UCD?
UCD won 1-2 on May 23, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 38′C. BehanUCD
- 89′A. McDaidFinn Harps
- 90′Mikey RaggettUCD (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Finn Harps have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; UCD have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2025 | Longford Town(away) | 0-0 | First Division |
| May 9, 2025 | Athlone Town(home) | 0-2 | First Division |
| May 2, 2025 | Treaty United(home) | 0-2 | First Division |
| Apr 25, 2025 | Cobh Ramblers(away) | 1-3 | First Division |
| Apr 21, 2025 | Dundalk(away) | 1-1 | First Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2025 | Treaty United(away) | 0-4 | First Division |
| May 9, 2025 | Longford Town(home) | 1-1 | First Division |
| May 2, 2025 | Kerry(home) | 0-1 | First Division |
| Apr 25, 2025 | Wexford(away) | 1-0 | First Division |
| Apr 21, 2025 | Bray Wanderers(away) | 0-2 | First Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Finn Harps win(s), 4 draw(s), 2 UCD win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2025 | UCD 1-1 Finn Harps | First Division |
| Aug 23, 2024 | UCD 2-0 Finn Harps | First Division |
| Jun 13, 2024 | Finn Harps 1-1 UCD | First Division |
| May 17, 2024 | UCD 3-3 Finn Harps | First Division |
| Apr 5, 2024 | Finn Harps 1-1 UCD | First Division |
| Oct 28, 2022 | Finn Harps 1-3 UCD | Premier Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Finn Harps score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; UCD score 0.5 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Finn Harps | 1.2 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| UCD | 0.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Finn Harps sit 9th in First Division (18 points from 20 matches) and UCD sit 2nd (33 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | UCD | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 19 | 33 |
| 2 | UCD | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 47 | 33 | 44 |
| 9 | Finn Harps | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 18 |
| 10 | Finn Harps | 28 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 22 | 56 | 22 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy