Fiorentina U19 vs Septemvri Sofia U19: prediction and stats
UEFA Youth LeagueSemi-finalsKick-off on October 28, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Curva Fiesole - Viola Park, Bagno a Ripoli
The Footlab AI model makes Fiorentina U19 the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Septemvri Sofia U19. The most likely score is 1-1. If Fiorentina U19 wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,904 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fiorentina U19 vs Septemvri Sofia U19?
Fiorentina U19 is a heavy favourite: 1,706 Elo points against 1,383, a 322-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Fiorentina U19 vs Septemvri Sofia U19
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Fiorentina U19
4-3-3- 33C. Evangelista
- 7G. Bertolini
- 9R. Braschi
- 16B. Keita
- 4P. Bonanno
- 47L. Montenegro
- 6N. Turnone
- 23E. Košpo
- 19N. Trapani
- 5E. Sadotti
- 1B. Dolfi
Septemvri Sofia U19
4-3-3- 7S. Aleksandrov
- 13B. Marinov
- 10V. Nikolov
- 18S. Stoichkov
- 8K. Kolev
- 5Z. Atanasov
- 10M. Stoychev
- 15T. Andreev
- 4I. Arsov
- 5S. Kosov
- 12I. Iliev
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 10:01 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fiorentina U19 have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Septemvri Sofia U19 have 1, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2026 | HNK Rijeka U18(home) | 4-1 | Youth Viareggio Cup |
| Mar 21, 2026 | One Touch U18(home) | 2-0 | Youth Viareggio Cup |
| Mar 19, 2026 | Pistoiese U18(home) | 1-1 | Youth Viareggio Cup |
| Mar 17, 2026 | Academy Potey Keahson Viareggio Team(home) | 1-1 | Youth Viareggio Cup |
| Mar 13, 2026 | One Touch U18(home) | 1-0 | Youth Viareggio Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2021 | Rangers U19(away) | 0-3 | UEFA Youth League |
| Nov 24, 2021 | Rangers U19(home) | 2-4 | UEFA Youth League |
| Oct 19, 2021 | Akademia Futbollit U19(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Youth League |
| Sep 29, 2021 | Akademia Futbollit U19(home) | 3-0 | UEFA Youth League |
| Oct 24, 2018 | Dynamo Kyiv U19(home) | 1-5 | UEFA Youth League |
How many goals should we expect?
Fiorentina U19 score 2.2 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Septemvri Sofia U19 score 1.2 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina U19 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Septemvri Sofia U19 | 1.2 | 2.3 | 1 | 3/6 | 4/6 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Fiorentina U19 vs Septemvri Sofia U19?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fiorentina U19 vs Septemvri Sofia U19?
- The Footlab AI model makes Fiorentina U19 the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Septemvri Sofia U19.
- Where and when is Fiorentina U19 vs Septemvri Sofia U19 played?
- Fiorentina U19 vs Septemvri Sofia U19 is played on October 28, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Curva Fiesole - Viola Park, in the UEFA Youth League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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