Fiorentina vs Qarabag: result 5-1 and analysis
UEFA Europa LeagueGroup Stage - 2Kick-off on September 29, 2016 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Artemio Franchi, Firenze
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What was the result of Fiorentina vs Qarabag?
Fiorentina won 5-1 on September 29, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 39′K. BabacarFiorentina
- 43′N. KalinićFiorentina
- 45′K. BabacarFiorentina
- 63′M. ZárateFiorentina
- 78′M. ZárateFiorentina
- 90′D. NdlovuQarabag
Official lineup for Fiorentina vs Qarabag
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Fiorentina
3-4-1-2- 10F. Bernardeschi
- 16Cristian Tello
- 30K. Babacar
- 9N. Kalinić
- 19S. Cristóforo
- 6C. Sánchez
- 18C. Salcedo
- 15M. Olivera
- 4S. De Maio
- 40N. Tomović
- 12C. Tătărușanu
Qarabag
4-2-3-1- 9Reynaldo dos Santos Silva
- 20R. Almeyda
- 22Ə. İsmayılov
- 99Dani Quintana
- 8Miguel Marcos Madera
- 15R. Əmirquliyev
- 32E. Yunuszadə
- 5M. Medvedev
- 25Ansi Agolli
- 14Rəşad Fərhad oğlu Sadıqov
- 13I. Šehić
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fiorentina have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Qarabag have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2016 | AC Milan(home) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 21, 2016 | Udinese(away) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 18, 2016 | AS Roma(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 15, 2016 | PAOK(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 28, 2016 | Chievo(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2016 | Kapaz(away) | 1-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 19, 2016 | Zira(home) | 2-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 15, 2016 | Slovan Liberec(home) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 9, 2016 | Şüvəlan(home) | 6-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Aug 25, 2016 | IFK Goteborg(home) | 3-0 | UEFA Europa League |
How many goals should we expect?
Fiorentina score 1.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Qarabag score 1.9 and concede 0.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina | 1.0 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Qarabag | 1.9 | 0.5 | 9 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy