FK Kukesi vs Besëlidhja Lezhë: prediction and stats
1st DivisionRegular Season - 1Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Kukës Arena, Kukës
The Footlab model makes FK Kukesi the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Besëlidhja Lezhë. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FK Kukesi vs Besëlidhja Lezhë?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate FK Kukesi (1,512) and Besëlidhja Lezhë (1,441).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FK Kukesi have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Besëlidhja Lezhë have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Besa Kavajë(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Maliqi(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 28, 2026 | Butrinti Sarandë(home) | 2-0 | 1st Division |
| May 9, 2026 | Bylis B(home) | 1-1 | 1st Division |
| May 3, 2026 | Besa Kavajë(home) | 2-1 | 1st Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Korabi Peshkopi(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 15, 2025 | Apolonia Fier(away) | 0-3 | Cup |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Gramshi(home) | 2-0 | 2nd Division - Group A |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Luzi 2008(away) | 1-3 | 2nd Division - Group A |
| Mar 26, 2025 | Sopoti Librazhd(home) | 1-1 | 2nd Division - Group A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 FK Kukesi win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Besëlidhja Lezhë win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2012 | Besëlidhja Lezhë 3-4 FK Kukesi | 1st Division |
| Dec 17, 2011 | FK Kukesi 2-0 Besëlidhja Lezhë | 1st Division |
Last archived meeting: Besëlidhja Lezhë vs FK Kukesi on Apr 28, 2012
How many goals should we expect?
FK Kukesi score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Besëlidhja Lezhë score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FK Kukesi | 1.4 | 1.3 | 5 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Besëlidhja Lezhë | 1.1 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | FK Kukesi | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 31 | 50 | 31 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FK Kukesi vs Besëlidhja Lezhë?
- The Footlab model makes FK Kukesi the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Besëlidhja Lezhë.
- Where and when is FK Kukesi vs Besëlidhja Lezhë played?
- FK Kukesi vs Besëlidhja Lezhë is played on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Kukës Arena, in the 1st Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.