Match

Pogradeci vs FK Kukesi: prediction and stats

CupRound of 32Kick-off on November 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadiumi Gjorgji Kyçyku, Pogradec

PogradeciFK Kukesi

The Footlab AI model makes Pogradeci the favourite at 89%, against 8% for a draw and 3% for FK Kukesi. The most likely score is 3-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,444 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Pogradeci vs FK Kukesi?

Pogradeci starts as the favourite with a 173-point Elo edge (1,734 vs 1,561).

89%8%3%
Pogradeci winDrawFK Kukesi win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Pogradeci vs FK Kukesi

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Pogradeci

4-3-3
  1. 8Georgios Lleshaj
  2. 90K. Preknicaj
  3. 20Indio Oliveira
  1. 97M. Shanaj
  2. 7B. Greca
  3. 31Suleiman Danladi
  1. 2K. Toshevski
  2. 18A. Samake
  3. 13Vilson Lila
  4. 22P. Kasmollari
  1. 24Marin Stanic

FK Kukesi

Not enough data to predict the FK Kukesi lineup.

Computed on November 12, 2026 at 01:20 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pogradeci have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; FK Kukesi have 9, 0 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Pogradeci
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Besëlidhja Lezhë(home)1-01st Division
Nov 1, 2026Besa Kavajë(away)2-31st Division
Oct 28, 2026Oriku(home)0-01st Division
Oct 23, 2026Bylis(away)2-21st Division
Oct 17, 2026Sopoti Librazhd(home)2-21st Division
FK Kukesi
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Sopoti Librazhd(home)2-01st Division
Nov 2, 2026Flamurtari(away)0-21st Division
Oct 28, 2026Kastrioti Krujë(home)1-01st Division
Oct 24, 2026Burreli(away)2-11st Division
Oct 16, 2026Besa Kavajë(home)2-01st Division

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Pogradeci wins, 0 draws, 1 FK Kukesi win.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 16, 2026FK Kukesi 0-3 Pogradeci1st Division
Apr 11, 2026Pogradeci 5-1 FK Kukesi1st Division
Dec 13, 2025Pogradeci 2-0 FK Kukesi1st Division
Sep 27, 2025FK Kukesi 1-3 Pogradeci1st Division
Apr 13, 2025Pogradeci 3-0 FK Kukesi1st Division
Jan 10, 2025FK Kukesi 3-1 Pogradeci1st Division

Last archived meeting: FK Kukesi vs Pogradeci on Sep 16, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Pogradeci score 1.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; FK Kukesi score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 79% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Pogradeci1.70.894/158/15
FK Kukesi1.51.565/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

A question about Pogradeci vs FK Kukesi?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Pogradeci vs FK Kukesi?
The Footlab AI model makes Pogradeci the favourite at 89%, against 8% for a draw and 3% for FK Kukesi.
Where and when is Pogradeci vs FK Kukesi played?
Pogradeci vs FK Kukesi is played on November 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadiumi Gjorgji Kyçyku, in the Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 79% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Pogradeci and FK Kukesi