FK Spartak Tambov vs Avangard Kursk: prediction and stats
Second League - Group 3Group 3 - 29Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Spartak, Tambov
The Footlab model makes FK Spartak Tambov the favourite at 60%, against 25% for a draw and 15% for Avangard Kursk. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FK Spartak Tambov vs Avangard Kursk?
FK Spartak Tambov starts as the favourite with a 162-point Elo edge (1,756 vs 1,594).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FK Spartak Tambov have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Avangard Kursk have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Ryazan(away) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Zenit Penza(away) | 0-1 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Arsenal Tula II(home) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | SKA Rostov(home) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Strogino(home) | 0-1 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Kaluga(home) | 1-2 | Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Metallurg Lipetsk(away) | 1-2 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Zenit Penza(home) | 1-0 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Kristall MEZ(home) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Arsenal Tula II(away) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 FK Spartak Tambov win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Avangard Kursk win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 4, 2026 | Avangard Kursk 0-2 FK Spartak Tambov | Second League - Group 3 |
| Nov 13, 2022 | FK Spartak Tambov 0-1 Avangard Kursk | Second League - Group 3 |
| Sep 14, 2022 | Avangard Kursk 3-2 FK Spartak Tambov | Cup |
| Jul 16, 2022 | Avangard Kursk 2-0 FK Spartak Tambov | Second League - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Avangard Kursk vs FK Spartak Tambov on Jul 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FK Spartak Tambov score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Avangard Kursk score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FK Spartak Tambov | 1.5 | 0.7 | 5 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Avangard Kursk | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FK Spartak Tambov sit 2nd in Second League - Group 3 (47 points from 20 matches) and Avangard Kursk sit 8th (27 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | FK Spartak Tambov | 20 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 33 | 11 | 47 |
| 8 | Avangard Kursk | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 25 | 27 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FK Spartak Tambov vs Avangard Kursk?
- The Footlab model makes FK Spartak Tambov the favourite at 60%, against 25% for a draw and 15% for Avangard Kursk.
- Where and when is FK Spartak Tambov vs Avangard Kursk played?
- FK Spartak Tambov vs Avangard Kursk is played on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Spartak, in the Second League - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.