Strogino vs Rotor-2: prediction and stats
Second League - Group 3Group 3 - 29Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Rublevo, Moskva
The Footlab model makes Strogino the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Rotor-2. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Strogino vs Rotor-2?
A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Strogino (1,477) and Rotor-2 (1,409).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Strogino have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Rotor-2 have 2, 1 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SKA Khabarovsk II(home) | 1-2 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Shumbrat(away) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Torpedo Vladimir(home) | 0-3 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FK Spartak Tambov(away) | 1-0 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Avangard Kursk(away) | 3-1 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Salyut-Belgorod(away) | 0-1 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Orel(home) | 0-0 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rodina Moskva III(away) | 1-2 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Metallurg Lipetsk(home) | 0-3 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Zenit Penza(home) | 0-1 | Second League - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Strogino win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Rotor-2 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 4, 2026 | Rotor-2 1-2 Strogino | Second League - Group 3 |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Rotor-2 3-0 Strogino | Second League - Group 3 |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Strogino 3-2 Rotor-2 | Second League - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Strogino score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Rotor-2 score 0.6 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strogino | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Rotor-2 | 0.6 | 1.7 | 2 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Strogino sit 12th in Second League - Group 3 (22 points from 20 matches) and Rotor-2 sit 15th (11 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Strogino | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 33 | 22 |
| 15 | Rotor-2 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 12 | 32 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Strogino vs Rotor-2?
- The Footlab model makes Strogino the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Rotor-2.
- Where and when is Strogino vs Rotor-2 played?
- Strogino vs Rotor-2 is played on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Rublevo, in the Second League - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.