FK Spartak Tambov vs Metallurg Lipetsk: prediction and stats
Second League - Group 3Group 3 - 21Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Spartak, Tambov
The Footlab model makes FK Spartak Tambov the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Metallurg Lipetsk. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FK Spartak Tambov vs Metallurg Lipetsk?
A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate FK Spartak Tambov (1,756) and Metallurg Lipetsk (1,695).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FK Spartak Tambov have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Metallurg Lipetsk have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Ryazan(away) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Zenit Penza(away) | 0-1 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Arsenal Tula II(home) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | SKA Rostov(home) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Strogino(home) | 0-1 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Avangard Kursk(home) | 2-1 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Volna Nizhegorodskaya(away) | 2-3 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Murom(away) | 0-0 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ryazan(home) | 0-0 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rotor-2(away) | 3-0 | Second League - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 FK Spartak Tambov win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Metallurg Lipetsk win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2026 | Metallurg Lipetsk 0-1 FK Spartak Tambov | Second League - Group 3 |
| Oct 11, 2025 | FK Spartak Tambov 2-1 Metallurg Lipetsk | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2025 | FK Spartak Tambov 2-1 Metallurg Lipetsk | Cup |
| Jun 21, 2025 | Metallurg Lipetsk 2-1 FK Spartak Tambov | Second League - Group 3 |
| Oct 8, 2022 | Metallurg Lipetsk 0-1 FK Spartak Tambov | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 10, 2022 | FK Spartak Tambov 1-2 Metallurg Lipetsk | Second League - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Metallurg Lipetsk vs FK Spartak Tambov on May 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FK Spartak Tambov score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Metallurg Lipetsk score 2.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FK Spartak Tambov | 1.5 | 0.7 | 5 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Metallurg Lipetsk | 2.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FK Spartak Tambov sit 2nd in Second League - Group 3 (47 points from 20 matches) and Metallurg Lipetsk sit 4th (38 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | FK Spartak Tambov | 20 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 33 | 11 | 47 |
| 4 | Metallurg Lipetsk | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 40 | 23 | 38 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FK Spartak Tambov vs Metallurg Lipetsk?
- The Footlab model makes FK Spartak Tambov the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Metallurg Lipetsk.
- Where and when is FK Spartak Tambov vs Metallurg Lipetsk played?
- FK Spartak Tambov vs Metallurg Lipetsk is played on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Spartak, in the Second League - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.