Rodina Moskva III vs FK Spartak Tambov: prediction and stats
Second League - Group 3Group 3 - 22Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes FK Spartak Tambov the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Rodina Moskva III. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rodina Moskva III vs FK Spartak Tambov?
FK Spartak Tambov starts as the favourite with a 191-point Elo edge (1,756 vs 1,565).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rodina Moskva III have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; FK Spartak Tambov have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Volna Nizhegorodskaya(home) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ryazan(away) | 0-3 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rotor-2(home) | 2-1 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kvant(away) | 4-1 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Salyut-Belgorod(home) | 1-3 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Ryazan(away) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Zenit Penza(away) | 0-1 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Arsenal Tula II(home) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | SKA Rostov(home) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Strogino(home) | 0-1 | Second League - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Rodina Moskva III win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 FK Spartak Tambov win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | FK Spartak Tambov 1-0 Rodina Moskva III | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 23, 2025 | FK Spartak Tambov 1-0 Rodina Moskva III | Second League - Group 3 |
| May 3, 2025 | Rodina Moskva III 1-1 FK Spartak Tambov | Second League - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: FK Spartak Tambov vs Rodina Moskva III on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rodina Moskva III score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; FK Spartak Tambov score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodina Moskva III | 1.9 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| FK Spartak Tambov | 1.5 | 0.7 | 5 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rodina Moskva III sit 9th in Second League - Group 3 (25 points from 20 matches) and FK Spartak Tambov sit 2nd (47 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | FK Spartak Tambov | 20 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 33 | 11 | 47 |
| 9 | Rodina Moskva III | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 34 | 25 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rodina Moskva III vs FK Spartak Tambov?
- The Footlab model makes FK Spartak Tambov the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Rodina Moskva III.
- Where and when is Rodina Moskva III vs FK Spartak Tambov played?
- Rodina Moskva III vs FK Spartak Tambov is played on September 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Second League - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.