FK Ventspils vs Daugavpils / Progress: result 1-2 and analysis
VirsligaRegular Season - 9Kick-off on May 6, 2012 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Olimpiskā centra Ventspils Stadionā, Ventspils
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What was the result of FK Ventspils vs Daugavpils / Progress?
Daugavpils / Progress won 1-2 on May 6, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 50′M. GhonghadzeDaugavpils / Progress (pen.)
- 58′Daniils TurkovsFK Ventspils
- 69′J. SokolovsDaugavpils / Progress
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 7 matches in all competitions, FK Ventspils have 5 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats; Daugavpils / Progress have 4, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2012 | FC Jūrmala(away) | 2-1 | Virsliga |
| Apr 28, 2012 | Jelgava(home) | 0-1 | Virsliga |
| Apr 22, 2012 | Metta / LU(away) | 6-1 | Virsliga |
| Apr 18, 2012 | Daugava Rīga(home) | 2-0 | Virsliga |
| Apr 15, 2012 | Gulbene 2005(home) | 3-0 | Virsliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2012 | Gulbene 2005(home) | 3-0 | Virsliga |
| Apr 28, 2012 | FC Jūrmala(away) | 1-6 | Virsliga |
| Apr 22, 2012 | Liepājas Metalurgs(home) | 0-0 | Virsliga |
| Apr 18, 2012 | Jelgava(away) | 2-1 | Virsliga |
| Apr 15, 2012 | Skonto(home) | 1-1 | Virsliga |
How many goals should we expect?
FK Ventspils score 2.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 7; Daugavpils / Progress score 1.6 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FK Ventspils | 2.3 | 0.9 | 2 | 3/7 | 4/7 |
| Daugavpils / Progress | 1.6 | 1.1 | 4 | 4/8 | 4/8 |
Over the last 7 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy