FK Ventspils vs Jelgava: result 0-1 and analysis
VirsligaRegular Season - 7Kick-off on April 28, 2012 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Olimpiskā centra Ventspils Stadionā, Ventspils
Full time
What was the result of FK Ventspils vs Jelgava?
Jelgava won 0-1 on April 28, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 84′Deividas LukošiusJelgava
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 5 matches in all competitions, FK Ventspils have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats; Jelgava have 1, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2012 | Metta / LU(away) | 6-1 | Virsliga |
| Apr 18, 2012 | Daugava Rīga(home) | 2-0 | Virsliga |
| Apr 15, 2012 | Gulbene 2005(home) | 3-0 | Virsliga |
| Apr 1, 2012 | Skonto(away) | 0-1 | Virsliga |
| Mar 25, 2012 | Spartaks Jurmala(home) | 3-2 | Virsliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2012 | FC Jūrmala(home) | 0-2 | Virsliga |
| Apr 18, 2012 | Daugavpils / Progress(home) | 1-2 | Virsliga |
| Apr 15, 2012 | Metta / LU(away) | 1-1 | Virsliga |
| Apr 7, 2012 | Daugava Rīga(home) | 3-4 | Virsliga |
| Mar 31, 2012 | Gulbene 2005(away) | 2-1 | Virsliga |
How many goals should we expect?
FK Ventspils score 2.8 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 5; Jelgava score 1.2 and concede 2.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FK Ventspils | 2.8 | 0.8 | 2 | 2/5 | 3/5 |
| Jelgava | 1.2 | 2.0 | 0 | 4/6 | 3/6 |
Over the last 5 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy