Flacăra Moreni vs Berca: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 3Group 3 - 22Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Flacăra, Moreni
The Footlab model makes Flacăra Moreni the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Berca. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Flacăra Moreni vs Berca?
Flacăra Moreni starts as the favourite with a 135-point Elo edge (1,550 vs 1,415).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Flacăra Moreni have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Berca have 1, 0 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Chindia Targoviste(home) | 1-2 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Pucioasa(away) | 7-0 | Cupa României |
| May 22, 2026 | Dunarea Calarasi(away) | 7-2 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 16, 2026 | Înainte Modelu(home) | 0-1 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 9, 2026 | Popești-Leordeni(away) | 1-1 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Baicoi(home) | 2-3 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Valenii de Munte(home) | 5-2 | Cupa României |
How many goals should we expect?
Flacăra Moreni score 2.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Berca score 3.5 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flacăra Moreni | 2.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Berca | 3.5 | 2.5 | 0 | 2/2 | 2/2 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Flacăra Moreni vs Berca?
- The Footlab model makes Flacăra Moreni the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Berca.
- Where and when is Flacăra Moreni vs Berca played?
- Flacăra Moreni vs Berca is played on March 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Flacăra, in the Liga III - Serie 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.