Flamengo vs Atletico-MG: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 17Kick-off on July 27, 2025 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho (Maracanã), Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro
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What was the result of Flamengo vs Atletico-MG?
Flamengo won 1-0 on July 27, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 75′Léo OrtizFlamengo
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Flamengo have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Atletico-MG have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 24, 2025 | RB Bragantino(away) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Jul 20, 2025 | Fluminense(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Jul 16, 2025 | Santos(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Jul 12, 2025 | Sao Paulo(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Jun 29, 2025 | Bayern München(home) | 2-4 | FIFA Club World Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2025 | Bucaramanga(home) | 0-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Jul 20, 2025 | Palmeiras(away) | 2-3 | Serie A |
| Jul 18, 2025 | Bucaramanga(away) | 1-0 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Jul 13, 2025 | Bahia(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Jun 13, 2025 | Internacional(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Flamengo win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Atletico-MG win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2024 | Flamengo 0-0 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Atletico-MG 0-1 Flamengo | Copa Do Brasil |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Flamengo 3-1 Atletico-MG | Copa Do Brasil |
| Jul 4, 2024 | Atletico-MG 2-4 Flamengo | Serie A |
| Nov 29, 2023 | Flamengo 0-3 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Jul 30, 2023 | Atletico-MG 1-2 Flamengo | Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Flamengo vs Atletico-MG on Nov 13, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Flamengo score 1.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico-MG score 1.5 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flamengo | 1.9 | 0.7 | 9 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Atletico-MG | 1.5 | 1.0 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Flamengo sit 2nd in Serie A (45 points from 23 matches) and Atletico-MG sit 8th (33 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Flamengo | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 45 | 21 | 45 |
| 8 | Atletico-MG | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 27 | 33 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy