Sao Paulo vs Fluminense: result 3-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 17Kick-off on July 27, 2025 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo (Morumbi), São Paulo, São Paulo
Full time
What was the result of Sao Paulo vs Fluminense?
Sao Paulo won 3-1 on July 27, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 24′R. ArboledaSao Paulo
- 59′FerreiraSao Paulo
- 77′Samuel XavierFluminense
- 90′G. TapiaSao Paulo
Official lineup for Sao Paulo vs Fluminense
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Sao Paulo
3-5-2- 11Ferreira
- 10Luciano
- 13E. Díaz
- 20Marcos Antônio
- 25Alisson
- 21D. Bobadilla
- 6Cédric Soares
- 28A. Franco
- 5R. Arboleda
- 32N. Ferraresi
- 23Rafael
Fluminense
3-4-1-2- 99John Kennedy
- 9Everaldo
- 45Lima
- 17A. Canobbio
- 8Martinelli
- 5F. Bernal
- 23Guga
- 22J. Freytes
- 3Thiago Silva
- 26Manoel
- 1Fábio
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sao Paulo have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Fluminense have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 24, 2025 | Juventude(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Jul 20, 2025 | Corinthians(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Jul 17, 2025 | RB Bragantino(away) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Jul 12, 2025 | Flamengo(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Jun 13, 2025 | Vasco DA Gama(home) | 1-3 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2025 | Palmeiras(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Jul 20, 2025 | Flamengo(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Jul 17, 2025 | Cruzeiro(home) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Jul 8, 2025 | Chelsea(home) | 0-2 | FIFA Club World Cup |
| Jul 4, 2025 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC(home) | 2-1 | FIFA Club World Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Sao Paulo wins, 1 draw, 3 Fluminense wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 1, 2024 | Fluminense 2-0 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
| May 13, 2024 | Sao Paulo 2-1 Fluminense | Serie A |
| Nov 23, 2023 | Fluminense 1-0 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
| Jul 1, 2023 | Sao Paulo 1-0 Fluminense | Serie A |
| Nov 5, 2022 | Fluminense 3-1 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
| Jul 17, 2022 | Sao Paulo 2-2 Fluminense | Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Fluminense vs Sao Paulo on Sep 1, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Sao Paulo score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Fluminense score 1.5 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sao Paulo | 1.2 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Fluminense | 1.5 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sao Paulo sit 10th in Serie A (39 points from 30 matches) and Fluminense sit 4th (51 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Fluminense | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 48 | 37 | 51 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 35 | 35 | 39 |
A question about Sao Paulo vs Fluminense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy