Sao Paulo vs Fluminense: result 3-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 17Kick-off on July 27, 2025 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo (Morumbi), São Paulo, São Paulo
Full time
What was the result of Sao Paulo vs Fluminense?
Sao Paulo won 3-1 on July 27, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 24′R. ArboledaSao Paulo
- 59′FerreiraSao Paulo
- 77′Samuel XavierFluminense
- 90′G. TapiaSao Paulo
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sao Paulo have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Fluminense have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 24, 2025 | Juventude(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Jul 20, 2025 | Corinthians(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Jul 17, 2025 | RB Bragantino(away) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Jul 12, 2025 | Flamengo(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Jun 13, 2025 | Vasco DA Gama(home) | 1-3 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2025 | Palmeiras(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Jul 20, 2025 | Flamengo(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Jul 17, 2025 | Cruzeiro(home) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Jul 8, 2025 | Chelsea(home) | 0-2 | FIFA Club World Cup |
| Jul 4, 2025 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC(home) | 2-1 | FIFA Club World Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Sao Paulo win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Fluminense win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 1, 2024 | Fluminense 2-0 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
| May 13, 2024 | Sao Paulo 2-1 Fluminense | Serie A |
| Nov 23, 2023 | Fluminense 1-0 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
| Jul 1, 2023 | Sao Paulo 1-0 Fluminense | Serie A |
| Nov 5, 2022 | Fluminense 3-1 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
| Jul 17, 2022 | Sao Paulo 2-2 Fluminense | Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Fluminense vs Sao Paulo on Sep 1, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Sao Paulo score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Fluminense score 1.5 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sao Paulo | 1.2 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Fluminense | 1.5 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sao Paulo sit 13th in Serie A (27 points from 22 matches) and Fluminense sit 4th (41 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Fluminense | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 36 | 29 | 41 |
| 13 | Sao Paulo | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 26 | 27 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy