Flamengo vs Palmeiras: result 3-2 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 29Kick-off on October 19, 2025 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho (Maracanã), Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro
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What was the result of Flamengo vs Palmeiras?
Flamengo won 3-2 on October 19, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 10′G. de ArrascaetaFlamengo
- 24′Vitor RoquePalmeiras
- 42′JorginhoFlamengo (pen.)
- 45′PedroFlamengo
- 90′G. GómezPalmeiras
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Flamengo have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Palmeiras have 12, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2025 | Botafogo(away) | 3-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Bahia(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 2, 2025 | Cruzeiro(home) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Corinthians(away) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 26, 2025 | Estudiantes L.P.(away) | 0-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2025 | RB Bragantino(home) | 5-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Juventude(home) | 4-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Sao Paulo(away) | 3-2 | Serie A |
| Oct 1, 2025 | Vasco DA Gama(home) | 3-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Bahia(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Flamengo win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Palmeiras win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2025 | Palmeiras 0-2 Flamengo | Serie A |
| Aug 11, 2024 | Flamengo 1-1 Palmeiras | Serie A |
| Aug 7, 2024 | Palmeiras 1-0 Flamengo | Copa Do Brasil |
| Jul 31, 2024 | Flamengo 2-0 Palmeiras | Copa Do Brasil |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Palmeiras 0-0 Flamengo | Serie A |
| Nov 9, 2023 | Flamengo 3-0 Palmeiras | Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Palmeiras vs Flamengo on May 25, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Flamengo score 1.9 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Palmeiras score 2.6 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flamengo | 1.9 | 0.5 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Palmeiras | 2.6 | 0.7 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Flamengo sit 2nd in Serie A (45 points from 23 matches) and Palmeiras sit 1st (48 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 40 | 19 | 48 |
| 2 | Flamengo | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 45 | 21 | 45 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy