Bahia vs Gremio: result 4-0 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 29Kick-off on October 19, 2025 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador, Bahia
Full time
What was the result of Bahia vs Gremio?
Bahia won 4-0 on October 19, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 4′IagoBahia
- 10′Willian JoséBahia
- 57′David DuarteBahia
- 90′Rodrigo NestorBahia
Official lineup for Bahia vs Gremio
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Bahia
4-3-3- 77Tiago
- 12Willian José
- 7Ademir
- 6Jean Lucas
- 26N. Acevedo
- 15M. Araújo
- 25Iago
- 21S. Ramos
- 33David Duarte
- 2Gilberto
- 96Ronaldo
Gremio
4-2-3-1- 95Carlos Vinícius
- 16A. Aravena
- 8Edenílson
- 7C. Pavón
- 6G. Cuéllar
- 19E. Noriega
- 23Marlon
- 4W. Kannemann
- 53Gustavo Martins
- 14Marcos Rocha
- 12Gabriel Grando
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bahia have 8 wins, 1 draw and 6 defeats; Gremio have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2025 | Vitoria(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Flamengo(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 2, 2025 | Botafogo(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Palmeiras(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 24, 2025 | Vasco DA Gama(away) | 1-3 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2025 | Sao Paulo(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 4, 2025 | RB Bragantino(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 2, 2025 | Santos(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Vitoria(home) | 3-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 24, 2025 | Botafogo(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Bahia wins, 2 draws, 2 Gremio wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2025 | Gremio 1-0 Bahia | Serie A |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Gremio 0-2 Bahia | Serie A |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Bahia 1-0 Gremio | Serie A |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Gremio 1-0 Bahia | Serie A |
| Jul 12, 2023 | Gremio 1-1 Bahia | Copa Do Brasil |
| Jul 5, 2023 | Bahia 1-1 Gremio | Copa Do Brasil |
How many goals should we expect?
Bahia score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Gremio score 1.1 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bahia | 1.5 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Gremio | 1.1 | 0.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bahia sit 5th in Serie A (49 points from 30 matches) and Gremio sit 18th (31 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Bahia | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 44 | 36 | 49 |
| 18 | Gremio | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 32 | 40 | 31 |
A question about Bahia vs Gremio?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy